For a new slant on Fansided, Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce will bring you some the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to help provide. “The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2926-2584-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +501 units. ($5010 based on a $10 per game bet). This year in MLB the computer is showing a profit of +41 Units over a 121-113-11 record.
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the wagerer, the computer, and with his background in Sports Journalism “The English” to make the whole thing work.
Today’s Game is a 7:07 PM CST Local Start
Colorado Rockies 37-32 (W2) +143 @ Toronto Blue Jays 38-31 (W5) –158 – Over/Under 9 Runs
Col P Jorge De La Rosa (7-4, 3.49 ERA) has given up 9 runs in his past 3 starts with just 1 home run allowed. However despite his great record, most of it has come at home as he’s 2-3 on the road this year. The Rockies have won 7 of his last 8 starts, albeit all against NL teams except the one against the Astros, who the NL wants back.
Tor P Josh Johnson (0-2, 5.40 ERA) is pitching today for just the 7th start this year after injuries have just decimated the entire Jays pitching staff. Johnson has allowed a home run in all but one start this year so far, and has only gone 7 innings in just 2 of those starts.
Despite Johnson being a question mark on the mound, the Jays offense is playing lights out, and some would argue finally playing up to their potential for the first time this year winning 5 in a row, and 8 of 10. In their last 5 games alone they have averaged 6.2 Runs per game in offense.
In contrast, despite a couple of home wins vs the Phillies, outside of their 2 runs allowed yesterday, the Rockies have allowed an average of 5.8 runs in their past 9 games, granted they were all at home in the thinnest of air. Now they are on the road in the AL East where Rogers center averages 4th among all stadiums in MLB for home runs allowed at 1.38 per game. I can’t see much bucking the trend of runs scored against them despite De La Rosa pitching with an ERA under 3.50.
The Computer calls a nice margined W for the home team, however we’re going to play this a little bolder than usual and play it for a little higher stake of 2 units as opposed to 1. Remember we are giving up a little more “juice” than usual but the reward for a strong projection is worth it.
We don’t ever get over aggressive in any given night, particularly in the long drawn out season of baseball, and thus we limit most of our plays to under 3 units (A unit is roughly between 2-3% of what we are gambling with in total, or bankroll), with the bulk between 1 and 2 units. It’s a slow and steady race to the finish line, don’t ever let anyone tell you otherwise.
2 Units Tor -158 ($31.60 to return $50)
Little known fact: Blue Jays games start at 7 minutes past the hour – To accommodate BOTH national anthems.
Mike Dyce’s Take
Blue Jays at home. The offense has been carrying them and it seems like they’ll take it to an NL team in an AL park with AL rules. The Blue Jays can also be credited with the Texas Rangers slide winning 6 out of 7 games against the Rangers in their last 9 games.
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“RPG” – Runs per game
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
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