Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide for us.
Yesterdays Recap: We got our larger play on the Jays who saw a pitchers duel, and a nail biter until the 8th inning where the Jays got us our 2 unit win. In our other play the A’s, despite a 6 run, 4th inning, decided to let the Rangers come back, and then leave the leading run in scoring position with just 1 out in the 9th losing 8-7.
Motown’s Total Record – 1-1 (+$10)
Dyce’s Total Record – 1-1
LA Dodgers 29-39 (L1) +100 @ NY Yankees 38-31 (W1) –110 – Over/Under 8 Runs 7:05 Local EST Start
Stats and Trends provided by Procomputergambler.com
LAD P Hyun-Jin Ryu (6-2, 2.85 ERA) has given up just 9 runs in his last 6 starts, and hasn’t given up a home run in his last 3 games. His last start against Arizona the rookie allowed a season high 11 hits and his ERA on the road is hovering around the 4 mark (4.10)…
NYY P Phil Hughes (3-5, 4.89 ERA) has been all over the board as of late pitching gems, and pitching beach balls. He’s lost 2 of his last 3 starts, but has only given up 8 runs (3,0,5). His home record is worse than his away record, and his era jumps another run and a half (6.52).
Motown’s Money Analysis
Dodgers are a hot mess losing 6 of their last 8, and generally just sucking, down 10 games below .500 for the team of underachieving talent. In the past week, they’ve given up at least 5 runs – 4 times in 7 games.
The Yankees haven’t been much better however, coming off a 5 game slide beating the Angels on Sunday to tighten up the AL East. They’ve given up at least 5 runs in all but one of their last 6 games.
The Computer sees through the mess calling the Yankees to start things back up again. Some of the support offered to justify the call backs around the Dodgers, and their willingness to lose particularly to “good” teams: Teams over .500. The Dodgers are just 15-27 35.7%, -16.05 units, +29.3% roi this season against plus .500 teams.
Mike Dyce’s Analysis
The Yankees at home in that ball park? The Dodgers away at an NL park? I think this one favors the Yankees.
The boys in pinstripes still boast a solid record while the Dodgers haven’t lived up to expectations all season. His 2.85 ERA is misleading especially considering it goes up on the road.
But this one all rests on Phil Hughes shoulders. If he gives the Yankees offense a chance, they’ll come through against the rookie pitcher. The Yankees will pull this one out.
1 Unit NYY -110 ($11.00 to return $21)
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“RPG” – Runs per game
“ROI” – Return on Investment – Given in Percentage
“RL” – Run Line – Winning by 2 runs or More – Getting a bigger return than just winning by 1 run or more.
“SU” – Straight Up Winner
“Total” – In an “Over/Under” or “Total” Bet – you pick whether or not the combined runs of BOTH teams are higher (Over) or lower (Under) than the line given.
“Unit” – Whatever given value one bets on average on a game. Used to show profit and loss a the end of a season. (See ROI)
“The Computer” – A powerful tool used to predict outcomes to sporting events. .
“Public” – The “general” consensus of the common folk who essentially dictate the price of the two teams once the odds are set. Note***The Pubic rarely wins.
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2926-2584-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +501 units. ($5010 based on a $10 per game bet). This year in MLB the computer is showing a profit of +41 Units over a 121-113-11 record.
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the Wagerer, the computer, and with his background in Sports Journalism “The English” to make the whole thing work.
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