Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide for us.
Yesterdays Recap: The Yankees and Dodgers were all wanting to watch the NBA finals so someone in New York city made it rain and rain it did. On the upside, game 6 was a pretty historically great game. We’ll have a report for game 7 shortly.
Fish’s Record – 1-1 (+1 Unit = $10)
Dyce’s Record – 1-1
PCG’s 2013 MLB Record – 123-116-11 (+42.45 Units)
Milwaukee Brewers 28-41 (L2) -120 @ Houston Astros 27-45 (W1) +110 – Over/Under 7 Runs 7:05 Local CST Start.
Stats and Trends provided by Procomputergambler.com
Mil P Kyle Lohse (2-6, 3.84 ERA) has just given up 5 runs in his last 3 games, but also has given up 3 homeruns in that span. He’s faced Houston 18 times in his career with a 10-8 record. The Brewers have lost 7 of his last 9 starts.
Hou P Erik Bedard (2-3, 4.82 ERA) has pitched extremely solid his past 7 starts, allowing 2 runs or less in 6 of them and allowing just 2 homeruns in that span. He’s looking for his first win vs Milwaukee in 2 starts.
Motown’s Money Analysis
Brewers have lost 3 of 4 and got pummeled last night in the opener 10-1. They’ve scored just 2 total runs in their last 2. This their 8th straight road game of 9 before going home Friday.
The Astros have won 5 of 6 and have allowed just 15 total runs in that time. They are 9-8 in June and looking like a real ball club despite their record.
The Computer calls this game to the underdog Astros to win again. 2 of the better trends to support the prediction:
*The Brewers are just 6-20 (23.1%, +14.23 units to fade [+45.9% roi]) this season against lefties.
*The Astros are 16-15 +28.2% roi this season, at home vs. sub .500 teams.
I like the way Bedard has been pitching and considering how the Brewers have been performing deeper into the road trip, I think the value is clearly on the Astros here for a medium sized play.
2 Unit Hou +110 ($20.00 to return $42)
Mike Dyce’s Newbie Thoughts:
As a baseball fan it is hard to bet for the Houston Astros, no matter what the game is. Players are excited to leave their, they have a payroll next to nothing. It’s hard for the casual better, or even the bar/pub bettor, to take the Astros.
However, the Astros have been on a roll at home. They won the series against the Chicago White Sox 3 games to 1, and beat the Brewers 10-1 yesterday. I don’t think they’ll beat the Brewers that bad again, but the Astros are streaking and I think I can ride with them on this game tonight.
On a side note, if pressed I’d take the Over. In that span I discussed they’ve only been under 7 runs twice. One of those games was a 4-2 loss.
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Who are we?
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2926-2584-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +501 units. ($5010 based on a $10 per game bet).
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the Wagerer, the computer, and with his background in Journalism, and passion for sport makes “The English” happen for the whole thing to work.
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