Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide for us.
Yesterdays Recap: Hou P Bedard pitched a Gem 4 hitter until some trouble in the 8th which let the Brewers squeak ahead and win 3-1.
Fish’s Record – 1-2 (-1 Unit = -$10)
Dyce’s Record – 1-3
PCG’s 2013 MLB Record – 123-118-11 (+38.45 Units)
Tampa Bay Rays 37-35 (W1) +100 @ NY Yankees 27-45 (L1) -110 – Over/Under 8 Runs 7:05 Local EST Start.
Stats and Trends provided by Procomputergambler.com
TB P Matt Moore (8-3, 4.12 ERA) is looking like Hyde after winning his first 8 decisions. He’s now lost 3 straight decisions, and given up 19 runs and 11 walks, but just 1 home run? He’s a career 3-2 in 6 starts vs NYY.
NYY P Andy Pettitte (5-4, 3.95 ERA) at 41 years old continues to defy all odds. He’s only given up 4 runs or more 3 times in his last 10 starts, and hasn’t given up a home run in his last 4 games. The Yanks have won his last 2 of 3 starts. He’s 17-7 career vs the Rays in 32 starts. (Most MLB pitchers don’t get that many starts in a season, that record is versus 1 team!)
Motown’s Money Analysis
Rays continue to struggle losing 8 of their last 11 and giving up runs in the meanwhile – 3 of those losses were by 10 and one by 7 (Avg giving up 6.5 runs in the losses). P Moore is trying to get back on track, however it’s been a struggle after the good start both for him and the team.
The Yankees have won 2 of 3 after their 5 game slide. P Pettitte has been consistent, and the Yankees are just 3.5 games out of first place in the AL East (0.5 games out of the Wildcard). Tampa trails NY by 2.5 games.
The Computer calls this game by a wide margin (2.27) to the Yankees. In fact it says we should be looking at getting extra value by not just betting them Straight up, but looking at the Run Line at -1 at +143. It means that if the Yankees win by a run we get our money back, but if they win by 2 or more we get $14.3 dollars of profit. Is it unrealistic to think that the Yankees are going to start scoring some runs against a struggling Tampa team whose pitching staff looking like a AAA team right now? If you want to play conservative, and take them at -110 straight up that’s fine to, but we like the bonus for a big Yankee win.
A nice PCG Trend to back this play up:
*The Yankees are 33-21 SU and 34-20 (63%, +16.6 units, +24.9% roi) on the run-line since 2012 after 4+ games with no errors.
2 Units NYY +143 ($20 to return $48.60)
Mike Dyce’s Newbie Perspective
So far my gut has let me down. I’m 1-3 since we started this journey. It’s hard to envision the Yankees losing this one, at home over a divisional foe. But it will be a tightly contested game.
The edge here has to lie with Pettitte who has owned the Rays. The Yankees have struggled lately and been losing more often then winning. So with the added pressure of a divsional foe breathing down your neck, the Yanks dial in and get it done.
I’d avoid the over/under and take the Yankees to win. Giving the Yankees -1 is as close to betting a team straight up as possible, hopefully they win by two.
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Who are we?
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2926-2584-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +501 units. ($5010 based on a $10 per game bet).
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the Wagerer, the computer, and with his background in Journalism, and passion for sport makes “The English” happen for the whole thing to work.
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