Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide the forecast for us.
Friday Recap: Motown hit the total despite the Jays and O’s not looking like much offensively until the middle innings. Dyce all but had the O’s in the bag until they blew it in the bottom of 9.
The weekend saw “The Computer” go a remarkable 8-3 (+4.9 Units) the past 3 days, including 2-0 in the WNBA. Sunday alone saw a 6-2 day, which was sent out FREE via the PCG free newsletter. Sign up now, I mean it’s free!
Fish’s Record – 2-3 (-2 Units = -$20)
Dyce’s Record – 1-5 (-4.2 Units = -$42)
PCG’s 2013 MLB Record – 126-121-11 (+37.32 Units)
Cleveland Indians 38-36 (L1) +120 @ Baltimore Orioles 42-34 (L3) -130 – Over/Under 9.5 Runs 7:05 Local EST Start.
Stats and Trends provided by Procomputergambler.com
Cle P Ubaldo Jimenez (5-4, 4.66 ERA) has looked sharp giving up just 8 Earned runs in his past 5 games (2-1). In that span though he’s, given up 3 home runs and 16 walks.
Bal P Zach Britton (1-1, 5.56 ERA) has been in the minors most of the year, but comes off a solid 5 hit 1 run effort last game in Detroit. He’s been up and down in the rotation for much of his 3 year career in the majors, and likely needs another good start to remain in the big leagues.
Motown’s Money Analysis
O’s have scored at least 5 runs in 7 of their last 11, but oddly enough are 5-6 in that span. Pitching has most been atrocious, and playing the Red Hot Jays over the weekend didn’t help as they gave up 24 runs in the 3 game set.
The Indians have won 8 of 11 and have score 5 runs or more in that span 6 times. Pitching overall has been good allowing just 3 runs or less in 8 of their last 11.
The Computer likes Baltimore here by quite the margin (2.3 runs), but we’ll be happy with just a Straight up win. The O’s defense has been correlated to winning when not committing errors in consecutive games as they are a solid 49-33 (59.8%, +20.7% roi, +18.98 units) since 2012 after two+ games committing no errors. Unfortunately, being defensively error free didn’t help as their pitching gave up 4 home runs in their last 2 games (7 in past 3). Could be a tighter one tonight where this stat could be particularly valuable.
Ubaldo Jimenez is 19-43 SU, -29.1% ROI Career as a road starter lifetime. This is the crux of the play and the reason that it’s 2 units on the O’s tonight.
2 Units Baltimore -130 ($26 to return $46) – Onto a winning streak I say!
Dyce for Dummies
My gut hasn’t led me to the promised land as hoped. I picked the Baltimore Orioles to beat the Toronto Blue Jays in Canada. The O’s looked like they were going to make me a winner until blowing it at the end of the game.
I’m trying to rebound and PCG’s analysis has been better than my gut so I’m going to follow suit. Plus it’s pretty clear that the Orioles are the better of the two game and I think they’ll get it done tonight.
2 Units Baltimore -130 ($26 to return $46)
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Who are we?
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2929-2591-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +495 units. ($4950 based on a $10 per game bet).
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the wagerer, the computer. With his background in journalism, and his passion for sport, he makes “the english” happen for the whole thing to work.
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