Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide the forecast for us.
Friday Recap: Despite the O’s getting up 2-0 they let the game get away from them despite P Britton’s 6 hitter. Fish and Dyce can’t seem to get it going, but thankfully those that sign up with PCG have been much more consistent. Remember there are usually anywhere from 1-5 plays on average daily from PCG and we are usually only picking 1 or 2.
Fish’s Record – 2-4 (-4.6 Units = -$46)
Dyce’s Record – 1-6 (-6.6 Units = -$66)
PCG’s 2013 MLB Record – 131-123-11 (+39.22 Units)
Cincinnati Reds 45-32 (L1) +135 @ Oakland A’s 44-34 (L2) -150 – Over/Under 7.5 Runs 7:05 Local PST Start.
Stats and Trends provided by Procomputergambler.com
Cin P Bronson Arroyo (6-5, 3.13 ERA) has only given up 5 earned runs in his last 4 games, but in that time has allowed 3 home runs, and 29 hits. He’s only 1-0 in that time. He’s a career 2-1 vs the A’s.
Oak P Tommy Milone (6-7, 3.98 ERA) got dinged up by the Rangers last game for 6 runs, but had only allowed 5 total runs in his previous 3 starts. He’s also given up a home run in his last 6 starts. He’s never faced the Reds. ERA wise Milone’s drops a run and a half at home then on the road (2.48).
Motown’s Money Analysis
Reds have lost 4 of 6 and in their past 4 have given up 22 runs. Last inter-league series vs Cleveland they won both at home and lost both in the AL park. Despite their overall record, they are just .500 this month (11-11).
A’s are 12-10 this month, but have lost 4 of their last 5, and 5 of 7 all on the road. They were on a huge Home streak not long ago, but after dropping a bunch, it seems like old news. They’ve allowed 39 runs in the same 7 game road trip in Texas and Seattle; 16 just to the M’s in a 3 game series. They will welcome coming back to some home cookin’.
The Computer likes the A’s substantially here, and given their general play at home how can you blame the call. Unlike many teams that slump after a road trip, the A’s are a whopping 44-24 SU (64.7%, +26.15 units, +34.7% roi) since 2012 after 4+ straight road games. As well when the odds-makers lower the total, they’re 99-57 SU (63.5%, +47.1 units, +25.5% roi) since 2012 in games where the total is 7, 7.5 or 8.
PCG has the -1 Run line in effect tonight, and this is a great spot for it at +100. I am confident that this has the makings of a low scoring, home team insurance effort that will get us to the promised land. PCG has taught me a lot in finding value, and rather than giving up $15 to return $25, I’ll take me chances on the -1 Run Line and if the home team wins just by 1, I’ll get my money back in a push. It’s a Very smart way to approach a game like this.
2 Units Oakland -1 +100 ($20 to return $40)
Dyce for Dummies
I haven’t had a good streak. In reality I feel like I should be sitting at 3-4 but I’ve had two games snatched from me at the end. The first was picking Baltimore to beat Toronto, who were in control till falling apart at the end. I picked the Bruins to win Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Finals last night.. But they gave up 2 goals 17 seconds apart in the last minute and a half of the game to lose. What the luck?!?
Motown has stayed more in line with what the computer is projecting and he his record is better than mine. For the record last season when we did this on NFL Spin Zone with the NFL our track record was better, and the computer even accurately predicted some scores.
Right now it would be unwise for me to go against the Computer. But aside from trying to recover from my miserable track record I have first hand experience watching the Oakland A’s as a Texas Rangers fan. I watched them catch us last year. Even thought these two teams seem evenly matched, it’s an inter-league match up in the American League ball park. I’m giving the A’s the edge.
Plus lets not forget the sewage back up in the A’s park. That’s got to mess with the Reds heads, or noses, while the A’s are use to it.
2 Units Oakland -1 +100 ($20 to return $40)
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Who are we?
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modelling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2929-2591-130 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +495 units. ($4950 based on a $10 per game bet).
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to give the balance of the wagerer, the computer. With his background in journalism, and his passion for sport, he makes “the english” happen for the whole thing to work.
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