Motown Fisher and Mike Dyce (Fish N’ Dyce) bring you the days marquee matchups from a statistics and wagering perspective which we have asked Procomputergambler.com to provide the forecast for us.
Fish’s 2nd Half MLB Record – 0-0
Dyce’s 2nd Half MLB Record – 0-0
PCG’s 2013 1st Half MLB Record – 149-148-13 (+30.95 Units)
Friday, July 19, 2013
Pittsburgh Pirates 56-37 (L1) +105 @ Cincinnati Reds 53-42 (W1) -115 – Over/Under 7.5 Runs 7:05 Local EST Start.
Pit P Francisco Liriano (9-3, 2.00 ERA) is in complete beast mode right now. He’s given up just 17 runs in 12 starts and just 3 home runs the entire season. He hasn’t given up more than 8 hits the entire season. He’s won his last 4 decisions, and 6 of 7 overall, and the Pirates have won his last 6 of 7 starts.
Cin P Mike Leake (8-4, 2.69 ERA) has given up 9 runs in his past 4 games, but in his past 10 has given up 2 runs or less 8 times. He has been hit by the long ball the past 2 games giving up 3 home runs in total. Leake’s just 1-1 in his last 4 starts and has a 4-3 lifetime record vs the Pirates in 14 starts.
Motown’s Money Analysis
The Pirates have won 3 of their last 4 despite losing the last game before the All star break. However the month of July hasn’t been great overall going just 5-7 in 12 games and starting to make people question if the Pirates will have the ability to stay the path the rest of the season. In their last 9 games they’ve allowed 2 runs or less 6 times.
The Reds are 7-6 in July, and depending how you look at their recent record, have won 3 of 5, or lost 5 of 8 playing very average as they’ve also rotated winning and losing for their last 6 games. The upside of their past 5 offensively is that they’ve scored 25 runs vs Atlanta and Milwaukee.
The Computer projects a W for the Pirates tonight and with Liriano on the mound anything that is plus money makes the bet worthwhile. We will proceed with caution however as July is a strong month for favorites, and betting RIGHT after the all-star games tends to be erratic.
PCG’s Subscriber Newsletter tells us:
*This season, the Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-10 (70.6%, +15.23 units, +37.6% roi) SU after scoring just 2 runs or less and 6-1 with any days of rest.
1 Unit Pit +105 ($10 to return $20.50)
Dyce for Dummies
Before reading Motown’s Money Analysis, I was thinking the Pirates were the play here. Liriano has been dominating and it’s inspiring confidence from this novice gambler. When I read the stats that Pro Computer Gambler provided it reinforced my initial gut’s feeling. And that is always a good sign.
The Pirates batting isn’t the best in the league, but they’re consistent with no real difference between home and away games or righties and lefties.
Who are we?
“The Computer” has been providing raw statistics, and forecast modeling along with situational trends for the past 3 years in nearly every North American sport with a combined record of 2974-2631-132 since April 2010 for a net return of a whopping +490 units. ($4900 based on a $10 per game bet).
Motown Fisher is a seasoned veteran of the wagering world that uses “The Computer” regularly alongside with his own handicapping techniques to predict sporting events.
Mike “Dyce” is there to provide the balance between the wagerer and the computer. With his background in journalism, and his passion for sport, he makes “the english” happen for the whole thing to work.
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