The San Diego Chargers host the Houston Texans today in the NFL season opener. From a novice gambling perspective this seems like a no-brainer. The Houston Texans are a Super Bowl contending team with a Defensive Player of the Year candidate and one of the league’s best running backs. The Chargers on the other hand are trying to return to the playoffs following a 7-9 season. Pro Computer Gambler runs 100s of simulations to predict outcomes of games and analyze trends and found an interesting on.
Date: September 9, 2013
Start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
Location: San Diego, California
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium
TV Info: ESPN
Radio: Sirius XM Radio/Dial Global
Live Stream: Watch ESPN App, ESPN 3, Direct TV NFL Ticket and NFL Game Rewind following the game
Line: Houston Texans -3.5
From Pro Computer Gambler:
Since 2004, the San Diego Chargers are 18-3 straight up (SU) (+12.48 ppg, 85.7%) and 19-2-0 (90.5%, +11.76 ppg) against the spread (ATS) [avg. line -0.7] when facing AFC South teams.
On Monday, they’ll face off against the Houston Texans at home in San Diego for +3.5 points and a Vegas total set at 44.5. Will the home dog take this one or will they come out the gates terribly as they do every year. Food for thought; subscribe today to see what the raw numbers have to say on this matchup.
“Home-dogs” as they’re called are always interesting picks. The Chargers are at home and picking them you get 3.5 points as well. Now 3.5 points isn’t huge but when the team is 19-2 against the spread when facing AFC South teams that makes this all the more interesting. You might want to consider taking San Diego with the 3.5 points.