This week the Texas Longhorns, who dropped out of the rankings, host the #25 Ole Miss Rebels. This will be a hard-fought game that unfortunately is getting second billing behind another big SEC vs Big 12 match up in Texas.
Date: September 14
Start Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: Austin, Texas
Stadium: Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
TV Info: Longhorn Network
Live Stream: ESPN 3 or Watch ESPN app
Line: Texas -2.5
The Texas Longhorns are 151-44 SU (straight up) (+15.96 ppg, 77.4%) under head coach Mack Brown.
**That’s a massive 14-1 (+25.13 ppg, 93.3%) SU and 11-4 ATS (against the spread) with the total set high between 63 and 70.
Aside from the challenge of winning a game in Austin, Ole Miss is having to face some uncertainties as the Longhorns change defensive coordinators. That gives the Rebels, and coach Hugh Freeze some uneasiness.
“There’s probably no way that I can answer that until we get there,” Freeze said, via ESPN. “I’ve never experienced this before. It is an unknown. Whether or not it’s a great challenge, I don’t know.”
That could help the Texas Longhorns out in this match up. What is unnerving for those Longhorns fans is that they could be without quarterback David Ash. That has helped Texas carry less than half of the public bets and the line then dropped from -5 or -4.5.
Aside from Texas being healthier overall here, that drop in the line has made betting Texas more appealing. Ash is only questionable and could play, it all depends on his head and shoulder injuries.
If you’re still not convinced consider this trend from Pro Computer Gambler:
Since 2003, Home Teams off of a road loss as favorites are 67-16 (+13.3 ppg, 80.7%) SU in the first month.
Of course if you didn’t know the Texas Longhorns are coming off a embarrassing road loss to BYU in Utah. With Mack Brown reportedly coaching to save his job, they could be especially motivated to pull out this win. The numbers seem to support it.
Picking Texas is our top pick for week 2.