The Kansas City Chiefs head to Indianapolis this weekend to face a Colts team that beat them 23-7 just a few weekends ago.
The Chiefs are on a two-game losing streak and have lost five of their last seven. At one point Kansas City looked like one of the best teams in the NFL, let alone in the AFC. Some flaws have been exposed, but overall, this is still a playoff worthy club.
The Colts have gone 4-1 in December, and that includes the 23-7 win over Kansas City at Arrowhead. According to Bovada.net, Indy is favored by three points (Colts -3), and that’s undoubtedly because as the AFC South champs, they possess the home field advantage in this matchup.
Despite all the aforementioned facts above though, I still would not take the Colts to cover here.
First, Kansas City has a tremendous rushing offense, led by Jamaal Charles. The Chiefs are rushing for 128.5 points per game, which is 10th best in the NFL. The Colts, on the other-hand, are ranked 26th in the NFL in opponent rushing yards allowed. Indy is giving up 125.1 yards per game on the ground, which bodes well for Kansas City.
Second, keep in mind that head coach Andy Reid rested 20 of his 22 starters this past weekend against the Chargers, so to take that loss at face value would be pointless.
Kansas City is a very dangerous team when both the offense and defense is clicking, and we started to see the team come together as a whole towards the end of the season.
For that reason, I’d stay away from the Colts -3.