The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks are all set to square off on Sunday in the NFC Championship game. Seattle is currently favored by 3.5 points but the public could be leaning towards the 49ers who are making their third straight NFC Championship game appearance and have an exciting quarterback in Colin Kaepernick.
Still, Seattle might be the better draft even with the spread. Pro Computer Gambler breaks down the statistics and this is what they’ve found:
*Seattle is a wretched place to come and try to win at. I am not sure how many people realize that there is a huge stadium factor here. Ever notice that most of the great playcallers (Brees, Brady, Manning, Rothlesberger) all seem to fail here? Since 2012, the Seahawks are 16-1 straight up (SU) (94.1%, +16.41 ppg) at home
**That is 23-10 against the spread (ATS) since Pete Carroll has been there.
*It is 35-17 ATS (67.3%) and 44-8-0 (84.6%) SU since 2005 when they are Favorited.
This line should be a lot higher based on the fact that this is in Seattle alone….
Last week I posted this *In Colin Kaepernick’s 27 starts against teams who are not the Packers he is below average, gaining only 186.9 passing yards and 30.5 rushing yards.” I’ll stick with that same thought again. The 49ers are overrated right now and have been getting lucky with turnovers and ref calls.
*Since 2009, teams that have gone two or more straight games without turnovers are 87-42-0 (67.4%) SU and 78-46-5 ATS.