Just 1.6 percent of people correctly predicted the Final Four

Mar 29, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Justise Winslow (12) celebrates with guard Tyus Jones (5) during the second half in the finals of the south regional of the 2015 NCAA Tournament against the Gonzaga Bulldogs at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
Mar 29, 2015; Houston, TX, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Justise Winslow (12) celebrates with guard Tyus Jones (5) during the second half in the finals of the south regional of the 2015 NCAA Tournament against the Gonzaga Bulldogs at NRG Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports /
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Only 1.6% of people in the ESPN bracket challenge picked the final four right out of 11.57 million brackets on ESPN


In March, upsets inevitably happen and brackets get busted leaving some fans saddened and others ecstatic. It is just a fun part of the whole experience. We all know that a tiny percentage actually predicts our finalists from each region. But this year, an atomically small number of fans predicted the four teams who are going to Indianapolis to compete in the Final Four. In fact, just 1.6 percent of the 11.57 million who entered the ESPN tournament challenge this year predicted the Final Four correctly.

An outrageously small number. Especially in a year where we are seeing three no. 1 seeds make it. Perhaps Michigan State threw people off, but would over 11 million people really bet against Tom Izzo. Apparently, yes.

We all know how likely it was that Kentucky would make it to the Final Four. After all, their 34-0 record leading up to the tournament was quite convincing. Over 58 percent of people thought Kentucky would be among the four teams remaining.

The Duke Blue Devils found themselves earning their 13th no. 1 seed in the history of the program after dominating the ACC in the regular season. They were definitely the favorite to come out of the South and didn’t leave any doubts that they belonged where they are as they beat Gonzaga by double digits in the Elite 8. Over 34 percent of people predicted that Duke would make it to the Final Four. And right they were.

Wisconsin, while less favored than Kentucky and Duke still earned a no. 1 seed after winning the Big 10 tournament. There was just 13.9 percent of people who thought the Badgers would make it to the Final Four, the least amount of confidence from people out of the four no. 1 seeds. But Wisconsin still prevailed, beating Arizona in dramatic fashion in the Elite 8.

But then there was Michigan State. Just 3.1 percent of people thought that the Spartans would make it to the Final Four. But with the help and experience of Coach Tom Izzo and the dynamic play from Travis Trice, Michigan State found themselves back in the semi-finals to face off against Duke.

But even though Michigan State most likely messed up most people’s brackets, just 1.6 percent of people predicted all four correctly. Kentucky is still the favorite as the four teams travel to Indianapolis, but as we’ve seen so far in this tournament, anything can happen in March. And we will get to see these unpredictable four teams face off next weekend, even if next to no one thought they would be there.

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