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EPL DFS Breakdown – Sunday 9/15/2019

By Vince Dray

BARCELONA, SPAIN - AUGUST 04: Pierre Emetic Aubameyang of Arsenal in action during the Joan Gamper Trophy match between FC Barcelona and Arsenal FC at Camp Nou on August 4, 2019 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by Pablo Morano/MB Media/Getty Images)
BARCELONA, SPAIN - AUGUST 04: Pierre Emetic Aubameyang of Arsenal in action during the Joan Gamper Trophy match between FC Barcelona and Arsenal FC at Camp Nou on August 4, 2019 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by Pablo Morano/MB Media/Getty Images) /
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LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 01: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of Arsenal during the Premier League match between Arsenal FC and Tottenham Hotspur at Emirates Stadium on September 1, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images)
LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 01: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of Arsenal during the Premier League match between Arsenal FC and Tottenham Hotspur at Emirates Stadium on September 1, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Marc Atkins/Getty Images) /

Top-Tier Forwards/Midfielders

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal @ Watford, $22) – It doesn’t take much research on this slate to see that this play should be a no-brainer.  On Friday, Arsenal announced that they would be without Alexandre Lacazette ($20) for several weeks due to injury.  Arsenal already relied heavily on Aubameyang to do a lot of scoring, and now they will need him even more.  Aubameyang has scored in all but one of the games this year (he did not score in a tough matchup at Liverpool).  He also gets a great matchup this week against a poor Watford defense.  Watford have given up three goals in a game twice this year, and they have zero shutouts.  Without any other true studs on the slate, Aubameyang should be in your lineup.  Nicolas Pepe ($17) has shown a nice floor in his first three EPL games mostly through chances created and shots on goal.  I don’t love the price here, but on small slates, don’t be afraid to pay for safe points.

Callum Wilson (Everton @ Bournemouth, $18) – Wilson burned me in the first two weeks of the season, but now that he has his first goal of the season, I feel more comfortable using him.  This isn’t the best matchup for Wilson as Everton have improved their defense from last season, but on a slate this small, there’s merit in using Wilson.  He has the best odds to score in this game at +125, which is only second to Aubameyang on the whole slate.  Another thing I like about Wilson is that he’s a forward that doesn’t solely rely on goals because he will get you some peripherals.  This gives him a safer floor than a guy like Gerard Deulofeu ($17) or Andre Gray ($14).

Richarlison (Everton @ Bournemouth, $17) – It’s difficult for me to use Gylfi Sigurdsson ($19) at that outrageous price until he actually strings together more than one good game.  However, I do want some exposure to Everton’s attack given the fact that Bournemouth are giving up two goals per game right now.  Richarlison scored a brace last game in a tough matchup against Wolves, and he has Everton’s best odds to score (+150) in this game.  I’m worried that people will see his last performance and jump on him in this plus matchup, so I don’t mind using Moise Kean ($14) instead who is just behind Richarlison at +165 to score.