Devin Singletary is barely worth a roster spot on your fantasy team

ORCHARD PARK, NY - OCTOBER 19: Devin Singletary #26 of the Buffalo Bills runs the ball during the first half against the Kansas City Chiefs at Bills Stadium on October 19, 2020 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
ORCHARD PARK, NY - OCTOBER 19: Devin Singletary #26 of the Buffalo Bills runs the ball during the first half against the Kansas City Chiefs at Bills Stadium on October 19, 2020 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images) /
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With a run of dud performances and now in a workload share, Devin Singletary is teetering on the edge of roster-worthiness in fantasy football.

After a solid run to finish his rookie season, Buffalo Bills running back Devin Singletary was tabbed by some as a fantasy breakout candidate this year. The Bills drafting of Zack Moss kept expectations reasonable, and the presence of Josh Allen to siphon off production on the ground was also worth keeping in mind.

Singletary and Moss each had nine carries in Week 1, with Singletary getting five catches on seven targets to Moss’ three catches on four targets. Moss caught a touchdown in that game. In Week 2, Singletary had 10 carries for 56 yards, to eight carries for 37 yards for Moss.

Then Moss missed three games with a toe injury. Here are Singletary’s stat lines in those games.

Week 3-Los Angeles Rams: 13 carries for 71 yards; four catches for 50 yards
Week 4-Las Vegas Raiders: 18 carries for 56 yards, 1 TD; five catches for 21 yards
Week 5-Tennessee Titans: 11 carries for 25 yards; one catch for eight yards

Moss returned in Week 6 against the Kansas City Chiefs, playing 14 snaps and getting five carries. Singletary had 10 carries for 32 yards with one catch for 13 yards in that game.

Then in Week 7 against the New York Jets, Singletary had eight carries for 29 yards and two catches for 18 yards as Moss had seven carries for 47 yards and three catches for 25. The snap split was nearly equal–40 snaps for Singletary to 35 for Moss. Their touch totals were equal, with Singletary getting 13 opportunities (carries and targets) to Moss’ 10.

Singletary has posted 32 or less rushing yards and less than 50 total yards in three straight games. Moss was out, eased back into action and then got nearly an equal workload share in those games. Over those three games, Singletary is averaging less than 3.0 yards per carry with eight combined targets and four catches. From Week 1-4, he had 16 catches on 21 targets.

If you’re holding a roster spot for Devin Singletary it might be time to cut your losses

Quite simply, Singletary is not doing enough to hold off Moss now that the rookie is healthy. He is RB28 in full PPR right now, with finishes as RB48, RB36 and RB36 in the last three weeks. In Week 7, Moss was RB27 in full PPR (10.2 points). In his three healthiest games thus far, leaving out Week 6 under the presumption of caution in his first game back, Moss has had at least a 45 percent snap share.

Moss is a solid, if a bit speculative, waiver wire add in fantasy this week in 12-team leagues (47 percent owned in Yahoo!, 37.4 percent owned in ESPN leagues). Singletary is of course heavily owned (89.7 percent in ESPN leagues; 93 percent owned in Yahoo! leagues). But even as bye weeks roll on, he’s barely worthy of a weekly flex spot in 12 and 14-team leagues. He is teetering on the edge of roster-worthiness in those same leagues (14 or fewer teams).

It’s a bit of a hot take, and he’d surely be quickly snapped up by someone else in your league. But in the absence of good trade value, I can get behind the idea of dropping Singletary in most any league with 10, 12 or 14 teams. With a h/t to the Fantasy Football Weekly podcast, we call that a “Sabotage Drop.”

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