NFL DFS Bargain Bin: Week 13 Sunday Slates Wide Receivers
Robert Woods, LAR at ARI ($5,900-DK/$7,100-FD)
As already alluded to earlier in Goff’s entry, the Rams could well be a little more pass-heavy than usual in this fast-paced matchup against the Cardinals. If so, Woods, with his frequent short-area role and various schemed looks, may be in a position to benefit. The veteran already comes into the Week 13 divisional battle with some momentum, having seen between eight and 12 targets in three of his past four games and posting a 31-328-2 line through the air and a 6-16-1 on the ground over the entirety of that sample. Furthermore, like his quarterback, Woods thrived against the Cardinals last season, posting a 20-239-1 line over two games.
The 28-year-old is also averaging an appealing 7.9 targets per contest and nearly one 20-yard-plus catch per game, posting 10 such grabs over 11 games overall. Woods has also seen a career-high 20 carries and parlayed them into 115 yards and a pair of rushing scores, rounding out his fantasy value nicely at his salaries. And, consider the veteran’s dependable red-zone role as yet another reason to potentially roster him in either cash or tournaments. Woods has logged 11 targets in that area of the field — an average of one per game — with seven of those looks coming from the 10-yard line in.
Nelson Agholor, LV at NYJ ($5,200-DK/$5,400-FD)
*As of Thursday afternoon, Agholor is dealing with an ankle issue. If he were to miss this game, strongly consider a pivot to teammate Henry Ruggs ($4,500-FD/$5,400-FD).
Agholor has rather quietly become one of Derek Carr‘s favorite targets, and the veteran speedster could be poised to profit in Week 13 if his level of involvement remains the same. While his hands do sometimes betray him, Agholor has excellent downfield chops and checks into this favorable matchup having already amassed six touchdowns over just 29 receptions. He’s also compiled 11 receptions for 142 yards and a touchdown on 15 targets — including four in the red zone — over the last two games.
The Jets have been one of the most vulnerable secondaries in the league all season, now allowing the third-most passing yards per game (284.0) and fourth-highest average yards per attempt (7..7), along with the fourth-most receptions (169) and third-most receiving yards (2,181) to wideouts. In turn, that collection of elevated figures has led to New York surrendering the fifth-most DK (42.8) and fourth-most FD (33.4) points per game to the position. Gang Green is also ranked in the bottom five of the league in points per drive (39.42) and bottom 10 in both points per drive (2.60) and drive success rate (76.5 percent), furthering Agholor’s case in a game where the Raiders could certainly look to get their passing game back on track after a disastrous Week 12.
T.Y. Hilton, IND at HOU ($4,300-DK/$5,600-FD)
Hilton’s teammate Michael Pittman, Jr. is also worthy of consideration at very reasonable salaries in his own right, but he could well draw higher ownership in tournaments than the veteran speedster. Hilton finally found the end zone for the first time this season in Week 12 against the Titans, cashing in after a multitude of narrowly missed connections with Philip Rivers throughout the campaign. Rivers continues to focus on Hilton a solid amount despite the latter’s occasional struggles, with the 31-year-old averaging a solid 5.5 targets per contest.
As alluded to in Rivers’ entry earlier, the Texans have quietly been almost as vulnerable through the air as they have been on the ground. When it comes to receivers specifically, Houston is giving up 40.4 DK/32.3 FD points per game and has also surrendered the third-most touchdowns (15) to the position. Then, while Hilton has admittedly found big plays much harder to come by than in past years thus far, six of his 33 catches have gone for over 20 yards and he’s also commanding a solid 14.4 percent of the Colts’ targets and 22.3 percent of the team’s air yards.