College Football National Championship odds: Will Oklahoma be odd team out?

Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma Sooners. (Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports)
Lincoln Riley, Oklahoma Sooners. (Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports) /

The Oklahoma football team could be the first team out of the 2022 College Football Playoff.

Among the handful of teams seriously vying for a 2022 College Football Playoff spot, the Oklahoma football program could be the odd team out yet again this upcoming season.

Despite winning the Big 12 each of the last six years, that has not been a guarantee for reaching the playoff. Oklahoma gets in two out of every three times its win the Big 12 during the playoff era. What really hurts them is the Sooners are a dreadful 0-4 to date in national semifinal games. Along with the SEC East titan Georgia Bulldogs, they project as the two teams fighting for No. 4.

Below are the latest College Football Playoff National Championship odds from WynnBet.

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Latest College Football Playoff National Championship odds

  • Alabama Crimson Tide: +350
  • Clemson Tigers: +450
  • Ohio State Buckeyes: +600
  • Georgia Bulldogs: +900
  • Oklahoma Sooners: +900

What the latest national title odds suggest is that there is no separation between Georgia and Oklahoma. While the Sooners do play in the easier of the two conferences, Georgia has two things working in its favor Oklahoma does not: A head-to-head regular-season game vs. Clemson and a potential date with some juggernaut like Alabama in the 2021 SEC Championship game in Atlanta.

Whoever wins in Charlotte between Clemson and Georgia gains a feather in their season’s cap, while the loser will not be punished by the Selection Committee. Should Georgia upset Alabama in Atlanta, or beat some other SEC West team like LSU or Texas A&M, potentially two SEC teams get into the playoff field and Oklahoma could be left empty-handed if they suffer a bad loss or two.

Ultimately, Oklahoma has the upper hand to get in over Georgia because teams like Iowa State or Texas are not as menacing of opponents as what the Dawgs have to face in Clemson, Florida or potentially Alabama. While there is a great variance of outcomes from Georgia’s schedule than Oklahoma’s, the Sooners may not get the benefit of the doubt if it is all things equal with Georgia.

The best path for the Sooners to make the playoff is to go undefeated in the Big 12 conference.

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