NBA best bets today (Predictions for Steph Curry, Knicks-Pistons and Thunder-Nets)
Don’t look now, but yours truly is having an unreal run in the NBA since the start of 2023.
Since Jan. 2, I’ve hit 27 of my 38 NBA bets for +11.5 units, easily one of the best runs of my betting career.
I don’t love calling out these hot streaks, but I really don’t want my readers and followers to miss out when we’re getting the best of the bookies.
Last night, we hit on our lone play, as James Harden prop, and I hinted that I’d be betting on the New York Knicks on Sunday’s slate.
The Knicks are a feature of today’s column, but they aren’t the only team that we’re betting on. Here are my three favorite plays for Sunday:
NBA best bets record to date
- NBA best bets record for 2022-23 season: 130-107-1 (+7.5273 units)
NBA best bets today
- New York Knicks -6.5 (-110) vs. Detroit Pistons
- Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (-105) vs. Brooklyn Nets
- Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-125)
New York Knicks -6.5 (-110) vs. Detroit Pistons
I bet the Knicks on Saturday night, and the line has since moved to -7.5, but I still love them to cover against the Detroit Pistons.
New York has already beaten the Pistons three times this season, winning by 24, nine and 30 points in those games.
Detroit won’t have Jalen Duren in this game and Bojan Bogdanovic, the Pistons’ leading scorer, is questionable.
Since Tom Thibodeau changed his rotation, putting more defensive-minded players on the floor, the Knicks have quietly been one of the best teams in the NBA.
New York is now eighth in the league in net rating while the Pistons rank 29th. Plus, New York is the best team in the NBA on the road, going 15-6 against the spread.
Don’t overthink this. Bet the Knicks.
Oklahoma City Thunder +5 (-105) vs. Brooklyn Nets
When am I not betting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as road dogs?
OKC has been terrific as of late, hitting two bets for us in the last three days as road dogs, winning both games outright to easily cover the spread.
Now, the Thunder are five-point dogs against the Brooklyn Nets, who are playing just their third game this season without Kevin Durant.
OKC is not only 13-5 against the spread as a road underdog, but the team has been elite as an underdog of five or more points.
The Thunder are being viewed as a bottom-tier team in the market, yet they rank 14th (!!) in the NBA in net rating.
The Nets’ offense isn’t nearly as explosive with Durant out, so I’ll gladly take OKC catching this many points on Sunday.
Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-125)
We’re buying low on Steph Curry against the Chicago Bulls, as the Golden State Warriors superstar is due to break out in his third game returning from a shoulder injury.
Steph is averaging 29.2 points per game this season, shooting an unreal 42.6 percent from beyond the arc.
Curry has failed to clear this line in both of his games since returning, but there is reason to believe he will tonight.
Chicago ranks 20th in the NBA in defensive rating, and Steph saw a ton of volume (22 shots) in his first game back before playing limited minutes in a blowout win over the San Antonio Spurs.
Steph scored 15 points on 12 shots in less than 24 minutes against the Spurs, and I expect him to have to play more against a Bulls team that is looking to make a run in the Eastern Conference.
It’s rare we will get Curry’s points prop at this low of a number, so I’ll gladly take the OVER.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.