MLB Odds

Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction and Odds for Friday, August 5 (Berrios' Turnaround Makes UNDER Valuable)

Josh Yourish
Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Jose Berrios (17)
Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Jose Berrios (17) / John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
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The Toronto Blue Jays took Game 1 of their series with Minnesota last night 9-3 and face the Twins again tonight with a chance to win the series. Toronto sits in second place in the AL East at 59-46 and Minnesota has a one game lead on Cleveland in the Central with a 55-50 record. 

Toronto hands the ball to Jose Berrios tonight as Minnesota goes with the newly acquired Tyler Mahle. 

You can find odds for this important series in the American League playoff picture at WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line

  • Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)
  • Twins +1.5 (-145)

Moneyline

  • Blue Jays -125
  • Twins +115

Total

  • 8.5 (Over -115 / Under -105)

Blue Jays vs. Twins Prediction and Pick

Jose Berrios has finally turned things around for the Blue Jays and had a very solid month of July. A good Berrios might be the biggest deadline acquisition that the Blue Jays could have gotten. He made six starts in July and ended the month with a 3.00 ERA and a 3.02 expected fielding independent pitching. He struck out 10.79 batters per nine innings and only walked 1.75 per nine. It also wasn’t just a turn of BABIP luck as it was .319 in July compared to .306 in all his starts prior to July 1. 

On the other side, Tyler Mahle has been good all year, he has just been stuck in Cincinnati. Mahle has an ERA of 4.40 and a 5-7 record, but his expected ERA is 3.20 and his expected slugging percentage is in the top 20% of the league. His walk percentage is still a bit higher than league average but other than that, Mahle has been a quality starting pitcher this season. 

Berrios’ early season struggles and Mahle’s poor initial stats have pushed the total up to 8.5, but it should be around 8.0 or 7.5. 

Pick: UNDER 8.5 (-105)

Follow all Josh’s bets HERE

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