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Liberty vs. Bellarmine Prediction and Odds (Lay the Points with the Flames)

By Iain MacMillan

Liberty and Bellarmine are set to face-off in Thursday afternoon college basketball action.
Liberty and Bellarmine are set to face-off in Thursday afternoon college basketball action. / Landon Bost/Naples Daily News/USA TODAY
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We're in for a treat today as an impending storm tonight has moved up a few college basketball games to an afternoon time slot.

One of those games is an ASUN Conference matchup between Liberty (15-7) and Bellarmine (13-9). The two teams are battling for the top spot in their respective groups within the conference. Liberty currently holds on to the top spot in Group B with a 6-1 conference record, and Bellarmine is in second in Group A at 7-1, behind only an undefeated Jacksonville State team.

The game will now tip-off at 1:30pm et.

Let's take a look at the lines via WynnBET for today's matinee matchup.

Liberty vs. Bellarmine Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

  • Liberty -3.5 (-110)
  • Bellarmine +3.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Liberty -165
  • Bellarmine +140

Total:

  • 132.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Liberty vs. Bellarmine Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 9-3 in Liberty's last 12 games.
  • Liberty is 8-1 SU in its last nine road games.
  • Liberty is 5-0 ATS in its last five games played in February.
  • Bellarmine is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games.
  • The UNDER is 8-1 in Bellarmine's last nine games.

Liberty vs. Bellarmine Prediction and Pick

I broke down this pick on this morning's episode of Bet & Breakfast, but I'm going to ride Liberty to cover the spread. It has already moved a point from where I got it at this morning at -2.5, but I still like it up to -4.5.

Both teams have similar offensive numbers, but how the two teams perform on their own side of the court is a stark difference. Liberty ranks 82nd in defensive efficiency, while Bellarmine ranks 333rd.

The Flames are a 3-point shooting team, ranking fifth in the country in 3-point shot rate. Meanwhile, 37.6% of points scored against Bellarmine come from beyond the arc, which is 331st in the country.

Finally, Liberty has a significant rebounding advantage, ranking 160th in rebounding rate compared to Bellarmine at 336. I'll gladly lay the points with Liberty this afternoon.

Pick: Liberty -3.5

Iain is 49-46-1 (+0.56 units) this season in his college basketball picks. Follow them here.

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