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Marlins vs. Astros Prediction and Odds for Friday, June 10 (Both Starters to Thrive in Houston)

By Ben Heisler

Miami Marlins starter Pablo López looks to improve on his stellar 2022 campaign on the road vs. the Houston Astros Friday night.
Miami Marlins starter Pablo López looks to improve on his stellar 2022 campaign on the road vs. the Houston Astros Friday night. / Matthew Stockman/GettyImages
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The Houston Astros are fresh from a day off on their six-game homestand as they welcome the Miami Marlins to town to start a three-game series.

The Astros have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, but all three of those losses have come in their last five, losing two of three at home to the Seattle Mariners.

The Fish, despite their under .500 record have been one of the unluckier teams in baseball, as their expected W/L record shows them as a team that should be several games ABOVE .500. They also have their ace on the mound in Pablo López tonight as he faces right-hander Luis Garcia.

How do oddsmakers see this evening's matchup going down?

Here are the latest odds for tonight's matchup in Houston over at WynnBET Sportsbook:

Marlins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Marlins +1.5 (-145)
  • Astros -1.5 (+125)

Moneyline:

  • Marlins +130
  • Astros -150

Total:

  • 8 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Marlins vs. Astros Prediction and Pick

I think the Marlins hang tough on the road against an Astros squad that's starting to come back to earth after an impressive run last week.

López being on the bump is a big reason why. The 26-year old right-hander has been outstanding all year long with a 2.18 ERA, striking out 9.14 batters per nine innings. He's given up 11 of his 16 earned runs in his last three starts, but he's also given Miami 20 innings in those games as well, striking out 19 batters.

Garcia has also been excellent for Houston, pitching to a 3.07 ERA in 10 starts this year. In half of his starts, he's gone at least six or more innings, giving up no more than three runs only once.

Lopez, interestingly enough, has had his biggest struggles the first time through the order, pitching to a 2.96 ERA, compared to a 1.80 and 1.84 ERA the second and third time through. Even so, he's only given up eight runs in 24.1 innings pitched. If he can get through the Astros' bats with relative ease, I see the first five under holding up beautifully at a reasonable number.

LEAN: F5 UNDER 4 (-115)

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