Mid-Week Movement: Packers and Buccaneers Climbing, Chiefs Falling Ahead of Week 4
By Peter Dewey
Every week in the NFL season there are certain spreads that will move based on the amount of money a sportsbook is taking on a certain team, injuries, weather and more.
Some moves are bigger than others, especially ones that push games beyond those magic numbers of seven (a touchdown difference) and three (a field goal difference).
This week, the Green Bay Packers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs are all major favorites in their games, but the Chiefs are actually losing ground against the Philadelphia Eagles at WynnBET Sportsbook. Maybe it’s because they’re 1-12-1 against the spread in their last 14 games?
We’ve already covered some line movement in the Denver Broncos-Baltimore Ravens game, but here’s a look at some other matchups this week:
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles Spread, Odds and Total
Spread:
Chiefs -7.0 (-110) -- opened at -7.5
Moneyline:
Chiefs: -320
Eagles: +250
Total: 54.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
While the Chiefs have been brutal against the spread, this one is worth watching if it goes inside seven. Even though Kansas City is on the road, the Eagles struggled to keep up with Dallas’ high-powered attack on Monday night and the Chiefs could be the play at less than a touchdown.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers Spread, Odds and Total
Spread:
Packers -6.5 (-110) -- opened at -3.5
Moneyline:
Steelers: +240
Packers: -300
Total: 45.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
This game has tilted heavily the Packers’ way, and for good reason. The Steelers’ offense was horrendous in Week 3 against the Cincinnati Bengals and Ben Roethlisberger has taken a major step back this season.
With Green Bay coming off an impressive win over the San Francisco 49ers and at home, I like this line at anything 6.5 and actually took it as my best bet this week.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New England Patriots Spread, Odds and Total
Spread:
Bucs -7.0 (-105) -- opened at -6.0
Moneyline:
Bucs: -320
Patriots: +240
Total: 49.0 (Over -115/Under -105)
If you were able to grab Tom Brady in a revenge game and the Bucs at -6.0 you’re a lucky customer. This line is likely moving due to the public hammering the Bucs, but I don’t have a ton of confidence in the Patriots' offense after last week’s disaster against the New Orleans Saints.
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