Ohio State vs. Duke Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, November 30 (Blue Devils Overvalued at Home?)

Nov 24, 2022; Portland, Oregon, USA; Duke Blue Devils center Kyle Filipowski (30) reacts after
Nov 24, 2022; Portland, Oregon, USA; Duke Blue Devils center Kyle Filipowski (30) reacts after / Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The ACC/Big Ten Challenge continues on Wednesday with a handful of marquee matchups, but arguably none more important than Ohio State taking the trip to Cameron Indoor Stadium to take on Duke.

The Blue Devils are transitioning to new head coach Jon Scheyer and it hasn't been the cleanest fit thus far, as the team has lost their two toughest games thus far, blowing a late lead to Kansas and getting blown out against Purude, both on a neutral court.

Now they host Ohio State, who had an impressive run at the Mau Invitational, playing tough with San Diego State in a loss and then beating Cincinnati and Texas Tech.

Can the Buckeyes, who are a veteran, but transfer heavy group, go on the road and contend with Duke, who is a young group still trying to figure out how to utiliize their immense size?

Here are the odds:

Ohio State vs. Duke Odds, Spread and Total

Ohio State vs. Duke Prediction and Pick

Ohio State has the size to challenge Duke down low. The Blue Devils have offset their lack of perimeter shooting with a ton of size and physicality on the glass, the team has a rotation of three players that are 6'10" are taller. Against formidable rosters, Duke still boasts the top offensive rbeounding percentage in the country at over 42%.

However, Ohio State has veterans on the block, including Zed Key, that does a great job of rebounding, the team is top 20 in offensive rebounding rate and top third nationally in defensive rebounding rate.

The Blue Devils are sure to figure this out, the team is reliant on a ton of freshman talent and the likes of Dariq Whitehead and Dereck Lively have been in and out of the lineup, but Ohio State's offense is far more efficient, 63rd in effective field goal percentage. The Buckeyes haven't shot all that well from the perimeter, shooting 34% which is right around the national average, but ShotQuality ranks them as a top 20 group.

On the other side, Duke is shooting below 30% from distance and I struggle to see it generating second chances against a physical Ohio State bunch.

I'll take the points.

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!




Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.