Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction and Odds for Sunday, August 7 (Dodgers With Edge at Home)

The Dodgers are 13-1 in Tyler Anderson's last 14 starts
The Dodgers are 13-1 in Tyler Anderson's last 14 starts / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
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While the San Diego Padres may have transformed their team and World Series aspirations with a stellar trade deadline, but the Los Angeles Dodgers are still on the verge of a sweep after winning the first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-4.

Yu Darvish hopes to salvage a win for San Diego after throwing a quality start in nine of his last 10 outings. He's worse on the road than at home, but may be transforming that narrative after allowing just three runs over his last two road starts.

Los Angeles counters with Tyler Anderson, who holds a 12-1 record and 2.89 ERA. Anderson surrendered five runs while walking four batters against the Giants in his last start, but the Dodgers have six straight wins behind him nonetheless.

Can Anderson give Los Angeles a sweep to prove it reigns supreme or will San Diego pick up the road win?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook ahead of this Padres vs Dodgers Sunday Night Baseball series finale:

Padres vs Dodgers Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Padres +1.5 (-180)
  • Dodgers -1.5 (+150)

Moneyline:

  • Padres: +121
  • Dodgers: -131

Total:

  • 8.5 (Over -120/Under +100)

Padres vs. Dodgers Prediction and Pick

With a 17-3 record in their last 20 as home favorites, the Dodgers are as dominant a team there is in MLB. They've got an incredible opportunity to suck the air out of San Diego's balloon with a sweep today, as the Padres know their trade deadline moves are for naught if they can't beat Los Angeles.

But Yu Darvish is on a stellar stretch, posting a FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) under 0.97 in each of his last two road starts. He's had two starts against the Dodgers this year, holding them scoreless over six innings in the first one and allowing five runs in the second.

Los Angeles' lineup is ferocious, and will take advantage of any Darvish mistakes. Not to be outdone by Darvish's recent performance, Tyler Anderson has a FIP under 2.78 in four of his last six starts. Check out his MLB Statcast Pitching Profile:

That's strong production, and the Padres rank just 20th in OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last two weeks. I see the pitching matchup as a wash, if not a slight edge for Anderson, and Los Angeles has edges in other areas that give it value.

San Diego is 3-6 in its last nine as road underdogs and just 3-4 in Darvish's last seven starts. This should be a highly competitive game, but I favor the Dodgers to improve to 14-1 in Anderson's last 15 outings.

Pick: Dodgers (-131)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.