MLB Picks

Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction and Odds for Sunday, Sept. 4 (Dane Dunning, Rangers Are Disaster on Road)

Peter Dewey
Texas Rangers starting pitcher Dane Dunning.
Texas Rangers starting pitcher Dane Dunning. / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Don’t look now, but the Boston Red Sox are creeping back towards .500 again, winning four straight games heading into their Sunday matchup with the Texas Rangers. 

If the Rangers had any chance of making a miracle run at a wild card spot, that has completely vanished, as they’ve lost seven straight games to fall to 58-74 on the season. 

Texas will turn to youngster Dane Dunning (3-7, 4.16 ERA) to stop the bleeding on Sunday. Boston has yet to announce a starter, but it did call up top infield prospect Triston Casas, who could find himself in the lineup on Sunday.

Here are the odds for this matchup: 

Rangers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction and Pick

This is a no-brainer with Texas struggling mightily over the last week. The Rangers rank 20th in OPS and 26th in team ERA over the last seven days, while Boston is seventh and 22nd in those respective categories. 

The Red Sox pitching staff is a concern, but we know they can hit, and Dunning has been extremely average in the 2022 season. He has a 4.24 Fielding Independent Pitching, and since he threw seven shutout innings against his former team, the Chicago White Sox, Dunning has struggled posting a 4.87 ERA over his last four starts. 

To make matters worse, the Rangers are a dismal 8-17 in Dunning’s 25 starts this season, and they’ve won just one (!!) of his 12 road starts in 2022. 

This is the ultimate fade of Texas, and one of the plays I like the most on Sunday.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.