Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Astros Upset, Mets Win and Two Totals We Love on Sunday)
Looking to bet on some Major League Baseball action on Sunday?
The BetSided team has you covered with four of their favorite plays using the odds at WynnBET Sportsbook on June 26:
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction and Pick
The Phillies have an incredibly difficult task at hand against Yu Darvish at Petco Park this afternoon.
The veteran right-hander has been sensational in his home ballpark, pitching to a 1.34 ERA in 40.1 innings this season. Hitters are hitting just .140 against Darvish in San Diego, and he's given up six total earned runs all year at Petco. SIX!
The 35-year old has also improved as the season's gone on. His 2.12 ERA in the month of June is more than two full runs lower than what it was in April (4.44), and just under a full run lower than in May (3.08).
As for Gibson, the right-hander has been terrific over his last three starts; pitching 20.1 innings while allowing just seven earned runs. He's struck out 14 and walked just three.
I lean on the Padres to get the win at home, but I'll pick the under 7.5 as the Padres have gone 6-0 in unders so far at home this season when he starts.
PICK: UNDER 7.5 (-110) -- Ben Heisler
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Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Prediction and Pick
It’s rare that you’ll see me advocating to bet against the Yankees this season, but the offense has gone dormant in this series against Houston.
New York has scored just one run, on a Giancarlo Stanton solo home run, over the last 18 innings, and it struggled in Thursday’s 7-6 win until the ninth-inning rally.
Nestor Cortes started the season on fire, but he has cooled down as of late, allowing nine runs over his last three starts (14 innings). Cortes has failed to make it through five innings in two of his last three outings.
The Astros are middle of the pack against lefties (15th in OPS), but for some reason they love giving Jose Urquidy run support, winning nine of his 13 starts this season despite his 4.68 ERA. Urquidy is receiving an average of 5.85 runs of support per game.
Houston has value as a sizable dog on Sunday.
Lean: Astros ML (+152) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction and Pick
I'm going to trust the better team to take care of business. No, the Mets aren't the best hitting team against lefties, but they thrive at getting on base. The team is 13th in batting average, but that jumps to 10th in terms of OBP.
Against Castano, who has a walk rate north of three per nine innings for his career, the Mets will be able to get runners on early against the third year pro, I expect the likes of Francisco Lindor to drive in the deep Mets lineup. Both Jeff McNeil (game-time decision) and Mark Canha are in the top 10 in OBP amongst National League players.
I also like backing the Mets because of the Marlins inability to hit lefties. The team is last in OPS this season against southpaws and will struggle to plate runs and keep pace with the Mets all around lineup that can hit the long ball and knock in runs with their ability to generate walks.
Don't over think it, bet the Mets to close out the series with a win.
LEAN: Mets ML (-137) -- Reed Wallach
You can track all of Reed's plays on betstamp HERE!
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Pick
This is the first start that Alec Mills is making this season, but he’s been relatively ineffective in four outings out of the 'pen in 2022.
Mills has allowed 15 runs (14 earned) in 14.2 innings of work, and allowed five runs on eight hits over 4.1 innings in his last relief effort against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
St. Louis has been hot at the plate over the last 15 days, ranking seventh in OPS and fifth in runs scored over that stretch. The Cubs’ pitching has been their Achilles' heel this season, ranking 26th in the league in team ERA.
However, they may be able to get to Jack Flaherty, who has gone just three innings in each of his first two starts, allowing six runs (five earned) on seven hits.
With Mills’ struggles and Flaherty still working himself back into form, I love the OVER at 8.5. The Cardinals are 37-33-4 on OVERs this season while Chicago is 35-34-3.
Lean: OVER 8.5 (-120) -- Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.