Top MLB Picks and Predictions Today (Trust Cardinals, Expect Orioles Upset and One Total to Play Tuesday)
Major League Baseball is back with 16 games on a Tuesday, which means there are plenty of picks to make at WynnBET.
The BetSided team of Peter Dewey, Matt De Saro and Josh Yourish has you covered with their favorite picks for the games on June 28.
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets Prediction and Pick
I think there is some value on the UNDER in this matchup, as Carlos Carrasco is a much better pitcher at home this season (5-0, 3.00 ERA) than on the road (3-3, 6.11 ERA).
Framber Valdez has been elite since late April, allowing three or fewer runs in 11 consecutive starts. That, coupled with the fact that Houston’s bats have relied heavily on the homer lately, makes me think we could be in line for a low-scoring affair on Tuesday.
The Astros are the best UNDER team in baseball, going 46-23-3 so far this season.
With this pitching matchup, I’ll gladly take even money with the potential to push at eight runs.
Pick: UNDER 8 (-105)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Pick
The Cardinals seem to have the Marlins on the ropes this series and look poised to deliver a knock-out blow. Sure it’s still July, but taking care of business in a series like this will go a long way in the battle for the NL Central.
Braxton Garrett has made four starts for Miami this year, all coming in June and has worked his way to a 4.08 ERA across 17.2 innings. He has not really gotten blown out of any games, four runs has been the most he’s allowed, but despite his career high 3.40 K/BB ratio, he is giving up nearly 13 hits/9 and if St. Louis can string a few together, it might be bad news for Garrett tonight.
Goldschmidt is seeing the ball well coming off a 4-for-4 outing and he has been seeing lefties well all year. Goldschmidt’s numbers are incredible against everyone, but against left-handed pitching his OPS is 1.384 and his .834 slugging percentage comes with only four home runs.
Miami and Garrett might have little chance tonight, but Dakota Hudson could keep the Marlins in it. He has a 3.72 ERA, but a 4.60 Fielding Independent Pitching and only has 4.9 K/9. St. Louis might have to win a shootout, but last night the Cards showed they’re more than capable.
Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+135) -- Josh Yourish
Follow all Josh’s bets HERE
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction and Pick
As I mentioned above, the Orioles are actually playing very well right now.
They are 10-5 in their last 15 and nearly swept the White Sox in four games over the weekend. A lot of this comes down to their pitching staff and their success over the last two weeks.
A big part of this surge has been Dean Kremer who will make his fifth start of the season tonight for Baltimore. Kremer boasts an impressive 1.71 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in limited action this year. He’s not given up a run over his last two starts and just one home run since his debut on June 5. The current Mariners have gone hitless against Kremer in nine at-bats.
Squaring off against Kremer tonight will be veteran lefty, Robbie Ray. Ray enters this game at 6-6 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.18 ERA in 90 ⅔ innings. But, Ray has looked very good in recent starts after finishing May with a 5.34 ERA. So far this month, his ERA is 2.70 and Ray has allowed one or fewer runs in three straight starts. It was a pleasant return to form for Ray who had given up three or more runs in his five prior starts. However, I wonder when he will regress back to an ERA in the 3.50 range.
Considering how well the O’s are playing right now, I think they are worth taking a chance on at these odds. Kremer has been great in limited action and I don’t think Ray can keep up playing this well for much longer.
Pick: Orioles +148 ML -- Matt De Saro
Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE