MLB Picks

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction and Odds for May 13 (Vince Velasquez No Match for Yankees' Lineup)

Joe Summers
Aaron Judge and the Yankees should feast on Vince Velasquez today
Aaron Judge and the Yankees should feast on Vince Velasquez today / Quinn Harris/GettyImages
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After a 15-7 explosive win against Chicago to open this four-game series, the 23-8 New York Yankees aim for a fifth consecutive win as they take on the 15-15 White Sox tonight at 8:10 PM EST.

Gerrit Cole gets the nod for New York and has been dominant of late after a slow start to the campaign. He's given up just one run over his last three starts, spanning 19 innings, while striking out 25 batters.

The White Sox will counter with Vince Velasquez, who hasn't been quite as impressive, but still only surrendered one run over his previous two outings.

Can Chicago get to Cole or will the Yankees keep rolling behind their ace?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help us find out ahead of this Yankees vs White Sox matchup:

Yankees vs White Sox Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Yankees -1.5 (+105)
  • White Sox +1.5 (-125)

Moneyline:

  • Yankees: -170
  • White Sox: +155

Total:

  • 7.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Yankees vs White Sox Prediction and Pick

With respect to BetSided's Peter Dewey, I'm starting to really hate the Yankees. I pick against them, they lose. I pick them on the run line, they win by one. To this point, I just haven't been able to get a handle on MLB's best team.

That changes today (I hope). Otherwise, I may secretly never talk to Peter again and make him wonder what he did wrong. Maybe I'm just jealous my Royals stink, but someone has to feel my wrath.

Anyway, the Yankees are primed to smoke the White Sox again today. Velasquez may be on a nice stretch, but his pitching profile from Baseball Savant is one New York's lineup should be salivating over:

The Yankees were built to hammer Velasquez. He's in the ninth percentile in average exit velocity, which is a bad recipe against a lineup that hits the ball harder than anyone in baseball. Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge both rank in the 100th percentile in average exit velocity, Gleybor Torres is in the 93rd, Josh Donaldson is in the 90th, Anthony Rizzo is in the 87th, and Joey Gallo is in the 71st.

That's six guys who could take Velasquez yard at any moment, so I expect New York to score some runs. Chicago's bats have been capable of late too, but they've got a much more difficult matchup against the two-time Cy Young runner-up in Cole.

Chicago averages the fewest strikeouts per game of any team in the league, but Cole's 33.33% strikeout percentage over his last three starts would be a top-10 mark in baseball. He threw seven shutout innings against the White Sox last year and I expect another dominant outing against a lineup that ranks 25th in OPS against right-handed pitchers on the season.

Even if New York struggles against Velasquez (they won't), then Chicago's 21st-ranked bullpen won't be able to keep the Yankees' bats down for long.

The Yankees have advantages in literally every area. Starting pitching, bullpen, offense, defense, you name it. Give me New York to stay hot and pick up a win on the run line. My relationship with Peter depends on it.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 (+105) and Yankees Over 4.0 Runs (-125)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

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