3 Best Prop Bets for Eagles vs Bucs (Focus on the Ground Attack)
The Bucs host the Eagles in the first game on Wild Card Sunday. A lot of people are picking an upset in this game and the line suggests Vegas agrees, as some late line movement leaves the Eagles as 7-point underdogs against the defending Super Bowl champs. But if you don't want to bet on the spread or over/under, you can always look to player props, which we have three of below.
Eagles vs Bucs Best Prop Bets
- Devonta Smith Under 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
- Jalen Hurts Rushing Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Ke'Shawn Vaughn Anytime TD Scorer (-120)
Devonta Smith Under 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
In their first matchup this year, the Eagles had only 26 pass attempts against the Bucs and Smith was targeted on only four of those passes. That resulted in a 2-catch, 31-yard day. I don't see the gameplan changing that much for the Eagles in this one.
Philly will want to attack the Bucs on the ground to keep the ball out of Tom Brady's hands and shorten the game. There's a reason the over/under on this game is only 46.5 points. This should be a ground-and-pound affair and I don't see the rookie WR being heavily featured unless it's a blowout, which I don't see and neither does Vegas based on the late line movement in this game.
Jalen Hurts Rushing Over 56.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Bucs allowed fourth-most rushing yards to QBs this season, giving up 23.4 yards per game. While that's only half of what Hurts needs, his propensity for running is what makes me feel confident in this bet. He went over this inflated number seven times this year.
Hurts had 10 rushes for 44 yards in the Eagles loss to the Bucs earlier this year. In a playoff game where plays break down at a higher rate, and assuming his volume stays at double-digits, I could see Hurts breaking a big one or two throughout the game and getting above this number.
Ke'Shawn Vaughn Anytime TD Scorer (-120)
The Bucs scored 1.1 rushing TDs per game this season, ninth in the NFL. The Eagles give up, you guessed it, 1.1 rushing yards per game, 25th in the NFL. If that doesn't line up for a rushing score, I don't know what else does.
With Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones out, Vaughn picks up the slack and gets the benefit of a short TD in this game. At least that's what I'm projecting. Could be a pass interference call in the end zone that sets up the one-yard plunge for Vaughn. Could be a drive that puts them on the doorstep. Either way, I see Vaughn finding the end zone in this game.