Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 13

Alabama and Auburn face off in the Iron Bowl this weekend but with the Tigers lacking talent and depth, this might be a blowout.
Alabama and Auburn face off in the Iron Bowl this weekend but with the Tigers lacking talent and depth, this might be a blowout. / Gary Cosby Jr. / USA TODAY NETWORK
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The No. 2 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide have one more hurdle to get over before they secure another trip to the SEC Championship Game. That hurdle is their rivals, the Auburn Tigers in the annual Iron Bowl game. One thing that makes this year different compared to recent meetings is that Auburn boasts a lowly 6-5 record. The Tigers are on a three-game losing streak and aren’t ranked heading into Week 13.

The pair have split the last 20 games against the spread (ATS) and straight-up (SU) going 10-10 on each. Alabama has more of an advantage in recent action having won five of the last seven games and going 4-3 ATS. However, Auburn has won and covered three of the last four at Jordan-Hare Stadium where this game takes place.

Here are the odds for the 2021 Iron Bowl, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Alabama vs. Auburn Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

  • Alabama -19 (-110) 
  • Auburn +19  (-110) 

Moneyline:

  • Alabama -1400
  • Auburn +800

Total:

  • 55.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Alabama vs. Auburn Betting Trends

  • Alabama is 7-1 SU in its last eight road games. 
  • Alabama is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games at Auburn. 
  • Alabama is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against the SEC. 
  • The UNDER is 6-3 in Alabama’s last nine games against the West Division. 
  • Auburn is 3-6 ATS in its last nine games. 
  • The UNDER is 11-3 in Auburns’ last 14 games against the SEC. 
  • The UNDER is 7-3 in Auburn’s last 10 games against the West Division. 

Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction and Pick

The Crimson Tide have indeed struggled to win games in Auburn, but this is a very different Tigers team from seasons past. 

To be fair, Auburn has been without QB Bo Nix and will not have him or kicker Anders Carlson available. Those are two huge positions to have to rely on a backup in a game this big. TJ Finley took over under center for the Tigers and want 17-for-32 with 188 yards and a TD in last week’s loss to South Carolina. This is a massive downgrade at QB for the Tigers. The loss of Carlson is also a big problem as backup kicker Ben Patton missed a 25-yard field goal late in the fourth quarter. 

Normally I would side with Auburn here with such a large spread on two bitter rivals on their home turf. But, I can’t back a backup who wasn’t even able to get going against South Carolina. Interestingly, Finley has started against Alabama before when he was at LSU in 2020. The LSU Tigers lost that game 55-17 and Finley had just 144 yards passing in that game. Hard pass on Auburn putting up much of a fight in this year’s Iron Bowl. 

Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -19 (-110)

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