Bears vs. Raiders: Odds, Spread, Over/Under and Prediction for NFL Week 5
By Reed Wallach
Justin Fields led the Chicago Bears to his first win as a starter last week, and now will be traveling to take on the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Raiders came up short on Monday Night Football against the Chargers, and now have a quick turnaround against Chicago. How should we bet Sunday’s matchup?
Here are the odds, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook, and our game preview!
Bears vs. Raiders Odds
Spread
Bears: +5 (-110)
Raiders: -5 (-110)
Moneyline:
Bears: +185
Raiders: -220
Total: 45.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Bears vs. Raiders Betting Trends
- Jon Gruden is 3-7 SU since 2018 when his team is on a rest disadvantage
- Gruden’s Raiders are 5-9 AT as a favorite since 2018
- Matt Nagy is 12-14 ATS as an underdog
I've been fading the Raiders for the past two weeks and going back to the well with it in Week 5.
We saw the potential of Justin Fields in Week 4 against the Lions, including this dime down the sideline to No. 1 target Allen Robinson.
oh boy pic.twitter.com/wOieGSJPkT
— Nate Tice (@Nate_Tice) October 3, 2021
The Raiders defense, especially on the line, has been stronger than Detroit’s this season, but Fields looked much more comfortable in his second start. Not to mention, the Raiders may be down several players in the secondary after the likes of Trayvon Mullen (foot), Damon Arnette (groin) and Nate Hobbs (concussion) all left Monday’s game.
If the Raiders are shallow on the depth chart, Fields may be in line for another solid start as long as the offensive line holds up.
The team is going to need Damien Williams to step up at running back after David Montgomery suffered a knee injury on Sunday that will keep him on the sidelines for several weeks.
We did see the Raiders offensive line breakdown against the Chargers on Monday, Los Angeles had four sacks, and the Bears can use that as a blueprint to stifle the Raiders explosive pass attack.
The Bears are top 10 in the league in adjusted sack rate this season and have done a great job defending in the red zone, allowing a touchdown on only 35% of opponent's red zone tries.
On a short week for Las Vegas, I’ll lean on Chicago’s defense to hold up and Fields to continue his upward trajectory. Backing Matt Nagy is not all that exciting, but the Raiders are prime for a regression to the mean after a 3-0 start.
Lastly, Jon Gruden has struggled as a considerable favorite, going 19-31-2 ATS as a favorite of three or more dating back to 2003.
Pick: Bears +5, play to Bears +4.5