Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction and Odds for June 6 (Two Pitchers Headed in Different Directions)

Diamondbacks Pitcher, Madison Bumgarner
Diamondbacks Pitcher, Madison Bumgarner / Michael Chow / USA TODAY NETWORK
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The Cincinnati Reds (18-35) seemed determined to hold onto the designation of worst team in the National League; dropping three of four to the Nationals at home.  Now, they prepare to host the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-29), coming off two straight losses at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates.  

It’s an interesting pitching matchup in this one as an over-the-hill superstar in Madison Bumgarner faces a young Hunter Greene who has all the potential in the world, but hasn’t quite found his footing in the majors.  

Odds are available at WynnBET Sportsbook

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line

  • Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170)
  • Reds -1.5 (+140)

Moneyline

  • Diamondbacks +108
  • Reds -118

Total

9.5 (Over -115 / Under -105)

Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction and Pick

Madison Bumgarner had a bit of a rocky May, in which his ERA jumped from 1.17 to 3.35.  Still a solid number for the aging pitcher, but his first start of June seemed to steady the ship.  He went six and gave up two runs against Atlanta, but took a hard luck loss with no run support.  

What is bizarre about Bumgarner’s season is the discrepancy between his ERA and his FIP.  Even through his first four starts of the year his ERA was 1.00, but his FIP was over four.  Now his respectable 3.31 ERA is accompanied by a FIP of 4.92.  His strikeout to walk ratio is the worst of his career.  His ERA may be the lowest of his time in Arizona, but the peripheral stats suggest that it will continue to climb.  

On the other side, Hunter Greene looked like he was going to have a dominant performance against Boston last time out.  He struck out the first four he faced.  After three scoreless innings he had seven K’s and only needed 44 pitches to do it.  Greene’s final line was 3.2 IP, 4 ER, on 6 hits.  

Regardless of that, he’s a young pitcher who is learning and heading in the right direction, while Bumgarner is on the wrong side of 30 and his numbers show it.  

These pitchers are like two ships passing in the night and I want to hop on the one with a course set for better days.  

Lean: Reds -118


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