Eagles vs. Bucs Odds for Wild Card Weekend Keep Trending Towards Philadelphia, Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been one of the most dominant teams at home in the NFL this season, both straight up and against the spread. Despite their success, sharp bettors are continuing to back the Eagles to cover the number when they match up Sunday afternoon at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.

After opening up as 9.5-point home favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook, the Bucs have seen their number fall a full 2.5-points, with the Eagles now 7-point underdogs. The biggest move has come since late Saturday evening, when the Bucs were at -8.5 for much of the day. Additionally, after the total opened at WynnBET at 49, there's been a full 2.5-point drop in the total; now sitting at 46.5 after it was at 46 last night.

According to the Saturday evening splits at WynnBET, while 59.6% of the betting tickets are on Tampa Bay to cover; 50.6% of the money remains on Philadelphia. There's also a discrepancy between the public and sharps on the total; with 63.5% of the bets backing the over, but 64.8% of the money is on the under.

Why is the Line Moving Towards the Eagles and the Under?

The Buccaneers have several notable injuries to deal with, as Leonard Fournette and Ronald Jones are both out; leaving the run game to go to some combination of Ke'Shawn Vaughn, Le'Veon Bell and the recently activated Gio Bernard.

However, one other likely reason for the continued move towards Philadelphia's side is the forecast for this afternoon. Initially, rain was expected throughout, but according to NFL meteorologist Kevin Roth, the precipitation is expected to clear up ahead of kickoff.

However, wind could be a primary factor this afternoon.

According to Sharp Football Analysis, wind is a more predominant factor on betting over/unders than rain or cold weather; leading the original total to drop from 49 to 46.5. This also could put a higher emphasis on a statistical advantage for Jalen Hurts over Tom Brady, as the environment could shape up to be more run-oriented. Brady and the Bucs throw more than any NFL team, leading the NFL in completions, attempts, passing yards and touchdowns thrown.

Our Matt De Saro was on the Eagles back when they were 8.5-point underdogs, and at that number, I agreed with the play, but this feels like a gross overreaction to some swirling winds that are more likely to mess with the total than Brady's ability to control Tampa's offense. It's still the defending Super Bowl champions and Tom Brady facing a rookie head coach and a young quarterback making his playoff debut. If there's ever a time to be "Don't Overreact Guy," this is it!

With the Bucs only favored by a touchdown, I believe now's the time to grab Tampa Bay to cover.

LEAN: Tampa Bay -7 (-115)