Betsided

Iowa State vs. Texas Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 7

By Reed Wallach

Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers (3) throws a pass during the Red River Showdown college
Texas Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers (3) throws a pass during the Red River Showdown college / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY
facebooktwitterreddit

Texas is almost back, especially with Quinn Ewers back from injury.

The Texas starting quarterback returned from injury in resounding fashion as the team handed heated rival Texas the biggest loss in Red River Showdown history, 49-0 last week. Now, the team returns home to host Iowa State, who is 0-3 to start Big 12 play.

Can the Cyclones thrive in a spot that head coach Matt Campbell has in the past, a big underdog? Let's check out the odds and find the betting value:

Iowa State vs. Texas Odds, Spread and Total

Iowa State vs. Texas Betting Trends

  • Texas is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • Both teams have gone UNDER in four of six games
  • Iowa State head coach Matt Campbell is 22-13 ATS as an underdog

Iowa State vs. Texas Prediction and Pick

This is a great time to sell high on the Longhorns, who are coming off one of their biggest wins in recent memory against a rival in impressive fashion. While Texas figures to be a Big 12 contender, Iowa State has crushed in this exact spot under Matt Campbell. As noted above, the Cyclones head coach is 22-13 against the number as a head coach.

The Cyclones 3-3-5 defense is built to keep the opposition in front of them and limit explosive plays (12th in explosive rush defense and fifth in explosive pass D). The team is allowing just 1.38 points per drive (13th in the nation) and are playing at a tempo outside the top 100 in plays per minute.

The Texas offense is humming, but the team is in a brutal sandwich spot against Iowa State in Week 7 with Oklahoma State on deck in Stillwater. This number came off a key number of 17, which gives me some pause to back the Cyclones who are 81st in success rate in 2022 and have limited big play threats.

However, I'm looking at the under about the key number of 48. The Cylones inability to stretch the field on offense but their talent at limiting chunk plays on defense should keep this game low scoring. Texas has little incentive to run this score up and Iowa State will keep this game within range into the fourth quarter.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Home/NCAAF Picks