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Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 5

By Iain MacMillan

Michigan will take on Wisconsin in college football Week 5 Big 10 action.
Michigan will take on Wisconsin in college football Week 5 Big 10 action. / Junfu Han via Imagn Content Services,
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No. 14 Michigan will take on Wisconsin this weekend in the Big 10 game of the week.

Wisconsin will look to bounce back after a tough loss to No. 9 Notre Dame in Week 4, while Michigan will look to further prove that it can be a contender in the conference. The Wolverines will enter the game with an undefeated 4-0 record after defeating Rutgers in Week 4.

The Badgers have fallen out of the AP Top 25 poll after losing to Notre Dame, while Michigan has moved up from No. 19 to No. 14.

Michigan’s odds to win the Big 10 are set at +700, and the conference could be anyones for the taking as Ohio State (-140 favorite) has looked vulnerable at times this season. Wisconsin’s odds to win the conference sit at +1500.

Michigan vs Wisconsin Spread, Odds, and Total

Spread

Michigan -1 (-110)

Wisconsin +1 (-110)

Moneyline

Michigan -115

Wisconsin -105

Total

43.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Michigan vs Wisconsin Betting Trends

  • Wisconsin is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against Michigan.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in Michigan's last nine road games.
  • Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against Big 10 opponents.
  • The UNDER is 5-0 in Wisconsin’s last five games against Big 10 opponents.
  • Wisconsin is 2-6 in its last eight games.

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction and Pick

With how these two teams have played so far this season, Michigan seems like the obvious pick, doesn’t it? At first glance, I would agree, but after looking at some key stats, I’m going to back the Badgers on the moneyline at -105 in this one.

Few teams run the ball as much as Michigan this season. 73.71% of the Wolverines plays have been running plays.

Guess who has the best run defense in the country? Wisconsin.

Teams are only averaging 1.0 yards per carry against the Badgers. That’s it, only a single yard per carry. That’s elite level run defense.

If Wisconsin can keep that up and Michigan isn’t able to get any offense through the air, the Badgers will be able to get the job done.

Give me the Badgers to win in a big bounce back game against Michigan.

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