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TCU vs. Kansas Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 6

By Reed Wallach

Oct 1, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) celebrates with
Oct 1, 2022; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Max Duggan (15) celebrates with / Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
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No, the Red River Game between Texas and Oklahoma isn't the Big 12 game of the week, nor is it getting College GameDay.

GameDay will be heading to Lawrence, Kansas for a battle between unbeaten TCU and the Kansas Jayhawks in a showdown that will help settle the top of the conference picture.

Kansas has been arguably the best story in college football this season while TCU is on the heels of one of the biggest wins in recent memory, blowing out Oklahoma last weekend at home, 55-24, announcing themselves as a Big 12 contender.

Here are the odds for this marquee matchup from FanDuel Sportsbook:

TCU vs. Kansas Odds, Spread and Total

TCU vs. Kansas Betting Trends

  • Both teams are undefeated against the spread (ATS) this season
  • TCU is 3-1 to the OVER this season
  • Kansas is 3-2 to the OVER this season

TCU vs. Kansas Prediction and Pick

Kansas is far better than expected and worthy of all the praise behind the fine play of quarterback Jaylon Daniels, but I think the buck stops here.

TCU was my favorite Big 12 win total over team and a conference championship contender, and they have lived up to the hype thus far. The team has scored 38 or more in every game this season and are averaging 8.33 yards per play, the best mark in the country. First year head coach Sonny Dykes has joined the Horned Frogs and revitalized their defense that is outpacing high powered offenses like SMU and Oklahoma.

The defense has also held up their end of the bargain under first year head coach Joe Gillespie, ranking top 50 in success rate against those aforementioned elite offenses. While Daniels has been electric on offense we saw the Jayhawks struggle in their first game against an above average defense in Iowa State last week, who runs a similar 3-3-5 scheme.

Kansas totaled 213 yards in the win against Iowa State and needed the Cyclones to miss three field goals to hang onto a 14-11 victory. Now, they will face their toughest test of the season and be unable to keep up. The Jayhawks defense is 80th in success rate and won't be able to keep down the Horned Frogs offense.

TCU has become a massive favorite on the road, and I agree, but I'm going to opt to go with the TCU team total over in hopes that their offense clears 38 points or more for the fifth time in as many games.

PICK: TCU Team Total OVER 37.5

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