2022 Super Bowl MVP Positional Breakdown: Scenarios, Trends and How an Offensive Skill Player Will Win
By Ben Heisler
It's always an exciting endeavor to try and predict the Super Bowl MVP for the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals. While the quarterback is the far more likely candidate based on both the odds, as well as the history of the award, there have also been several instances where an offensive skill position player has walked away with the honors.
An offensive skill player has won Super Bowl MVP a total of 14 times in Super Bowl history, with the aforementioned Julian Edelman taking home the honors back in 2019.
Let’s go over several trends for Super Bowl MVP-winning skill position players on offense and determine how this year becomes No. 15 on the list.
Super Bowl MVP Betting Trends: How Often Does an Offensive Skill Player Win?
- Offensive skill players have won Super Bowl MVP 14 times in 55 games
- The last running back to win Super Bowl MVP was Terrell Davis back in Super Bowl XXXII in 1998
- Only one wide receiver has won Super Bowl MVP in the last 12 seasons (Julian Edelman)
- Over the last 20 years, four wideouts have won Super Bowl MVP
- A tight end has never won Super Bowl MVP
- More defensive players (two) have won Super Bowl MVP in the last 10 years than non-quarterback offensive players.
2022 Super Bowl MVP Odds for RBs, WRs and TEs
Running Back MVP Odds
- Joe Mixon (CIN) +2500
- Cam Akers (LAR) +3000
Wide Receiver MVP Odds
- Cooper Kupp (LAR) +600
- Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) +1600
- Odell Beckham Jr. (LAR) +2500
- Tee Higgins (CIN) +5000
- Tyler Boyd (CIN) +10000
- Van Jefferson (LAR) +10000
Tight End MVP Odds
- Kendall Blanton (LAR) +10000
- C.J. Uzomah (CIN) +10000
What Does an Offensive Skill Player Need to Do to Win Super Bowl MVP?
The most likely scenario for any of these options to cash is somewhat two-fold.
The first is that one of the running backs completely takes control of the offensive side of the ball. With both backs only projected for 63.5 yards, the oddsmakers don't anticipate either Joe Mixon or Cam Akers being the major reason their teams walk away with the Lombardi Trophy.
The second is a similar scenario to how Julian Edelman won Super Bowl MVP back in 2019; a low, defensive-minded game where there wasn't one particular player on defense that was the difference maker in the matchup. Edelman caught 10 passes for 141 yards, but didn't score. He became the only wide receiver to win Super Bowl MVP that didn't score a touchdown since Fred Biletnikoff of the Oakland Raiders in Super Bowl XI.
Obviously, scenario number three would be that one of the six different key receivers absolutely balls out, but the likelihood that they receive the honors over their quarterback is slim-to-none.
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