2023 Women’s World Cup Group odds for every team (Who will advance?)
By Peter Dewey
The 2023 Women’s World Cup begins on July 20 with the group stage.
The United States has won back-to-back Women’s World Cups and made the final in 2011 before losing to Japan.
England, the U.S., Spain and Germany all have shorter than +1000 odds to win the World Cup, and they are all favored to win their group stage. The top two teams from each group will advance, so each game in the group stage is crucial.
Let’s break down the odds for which teams are expected to advance, and win, during the group stage of the World Cup.
Group A odds odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- New Zealand: 15.38%
- Norway: 73.68%
- Switzerland: 16.95%
- Philippines: 0.20%
Group A odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- New Zealand: 52.38%
- Norway: 95.0%
- Switzerland: 60.0%
- Philippines: 1.23%
Norway looks to be a lock to advance, but oddsmakers have Switzerland and New Zealand in a bit of a dead heat to be the second team to advance.
Group B odds odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- Australia: 64.91%
- Canada: 33.33%
- Nigeria: 2.78%
- Ireland: 5.00%
Group B odds to qualify
Implied probability to win:
- Australia: 91.67%
- Canada: 81.13%
- Nigeria: 22.22%
- Ireland: 14.29%
This group seems to be Australia and Canada or bust, although an upset would certainly allow longshot bettors to cash in.
Group C odds to win
Implied probability to win
- Spain: 77.27%
- Japan: 18.18%
- Zambia: 1.96%
- Costa Rica: 0.20%
Group C odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- Spain: 98.59%
- Japan: 88.24%
- Zambia: 15.38%
- Costa Rica: 2.94%
Spain and Japan both are expected to contend for a title in 2023, and Japan is one of four nations to win a Women’s World Cup.
Group D odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- England: 89.47%
- Denmark: 9.09%
- China: 2.56%
- Haiti: 0.99%
Group D odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- England: 99.01%
- Denmark: 75.00%
- China: 29.41%
- Haiti: 2.13%
England is the clear favorite here, especially since it is +430 to win – behind only the United States.
Group E odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- United States: 75.61%
- Netherlands: 27.78%
- Portugal: 2.56%
- Vietnam: 0.20%
Group E odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- United States: 98.59%
- Netherlands: 90.00%
- Portugal: 14.29%
- Vietnam: 0.99%
The United States is +230 to win it all, and it appears oddsmakers expect both the USWNT and The Netherlands to advance.
Group F odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- France: 62.96%
- Brazil: 38.46%
- Jamaica: 2.44%
- Panama: 0.40%
Group F odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- France: 96.15%
- Brazil: 93.33%
- Jamaica: 14.29%
- Panama: 2.94%
France and Brazil are almost locks to advance from the Group Stage.
Group G odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- Sweden: 78.72%
- Italy: 16.67%
- Argentina: 4.17%
- South Africa: 1.52%
Group G odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- Sweden: 98.04%
- Italy: 77.78%
- Argentina: 23.81%
- South Africa: 7.69%
Sweden is the clear favorite in this group, but Italy has a leg up on Argentina and South Africa to advance.
Group H odds to win
Implied probability to win:
- Germany: 90.91%
- Colombia: 5.56%
- Republic of Korea: 5.00%
- Morocco: 0.66%
Group H odds to qualify
Implied probability to advance:
- Germany: 98.04%
- Colombia: 56.52%
- Republic of Korea: 50.00%
- Morocco: 2.78%
This may be the weakest group after Germany, which is heavily favored to advance.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.