3 Best NBA Prop Bets Today for Warriors vs. Mavericks (Fade Jalen Brunson, Trust Steph Curry to Bounce Back)

The Golden State Warriors are 4.5-point road favorites at WynnBET Sportsbook when they take on the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night. 

This spread has moved significantly in the Mavericks direction from Warriors -6 to Warriors -4.5. Steph Curry and company will get a break with Kristaps Porzinigis out, but can the Mavs pull off the upset on the night of Dirk Nowitzki’s jersey retirement? 

I previewed this game here, but let’s break down some props for this marquee matchup:

Best Prop Bets for for Warriors vs. Mavericks

• Jalen Brunson UNDER 16.5 Points (-125)
• Draymond Green OVER 7.5 Rebounds (-125)
• Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-130)

Jalen Brunson UNDER 16.5 Points (-125)

Jalen Brunson ran the Mavericks offense while Doncic was out of the lineup, but in the two games since he has returned Brunson is averaging just 12.5 points per game on 13.0 shots per game. 

The days of Brunson taking 19 and 20 shots are likely over, and I think that makes him fadeable in this prop, especially since his season average sits at 16.1 points per game. 

The Mavericks also play the slowest pace in the NBA, so don’t expect there to be a ton of extra possessions for Brunson to cash in. 

Draymond Green OVER 7.5 Rebounds (-125)

After a short stint in the NBA’s health and safety protocols, Draymond Green returned to the lineup in the Warriors’ win over the Miami Heat. 

Green has cleared 7.5 rebounds in three of his last four games, and he’s facing a Mavs team that is short-handed up front with Porzingis in the health and safety protocols. 

Dallas is also just 20th in the NBA in rebounding percentage, so as long as Green stays on the floor he should have no problem clearing this number. 

Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-130)

Can you say overreaction? 

Yes, Steph Curry shot just 3-for-17 in his last game, but WynnBET has moved this prop below his season average of 27.2 points per game. 

Despite some shooting struggles, Curry has cleared this number in five of his last seven games and is still hitting 39.3 percent of his shots from deep this season. The Mavericks are far from an elite defense, and I think Curry will bounce back in a big way. 

He followed up his last poor shooting performance (7-for-28 on Dec. 4) with a 31-point game the following game. I’ll gladly take the over at this number on Wednesday.