Betsided

3 Best NBA Prop Bets Today for Nuggets vs. Warriors

By Matt De Saro

The Denver Nuggets have their hands full tonight with the Warriors but a few key players could shine.
The Denver Nuggets have their hands full tonight with the Warriors but a few key players could shine. / Rob Gray-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The Golden State Warriors take their incredible 26-5 home record back to the Chase Center where a game with the Denver Nuggets awaits. Let’s take a look at some prop odds for this showdown, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

3 Best Prop Bets for Nuggets vs. Warriors 

  • Nikola Jokic OVER 47.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-120)
  • Nikola Jokic OVER 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+135)
  • Will Barton OVER 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+125)

Nikola Jokic OVER 47.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds (-120)

This is a very high total that had me really thinking twice about adding Jokic in this spot. But, I’ve been having good luck with these PAR bets and it’s hard to bet against the reigning MVP. Jokic is playing like he wants those back-to-back trophies and is averaging 25.8 points, 13.7 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game. Some quick math tells us that his season average is 47.4 combined PAG. So, I have to ask myself. Do the Warriors have an above or below-average defense? To be honest it doesn’t matter too much because Jokic is so damn good. But, the answer is that the Warriors have a very above-average defense in fact.

Despite this, I think they are starting to wear down a bit and have been getting beat on the boards routinely of late. Several mid-tier players such as Ivica Zubac are giving up big numbers to superstars like Julius Randle. 

Nikola Jokic OVER 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+135)

Jokic is not only an offensive powerhouse but also a very tenacious defender. He gets a lot of steals for a center and leads the team in swipes. Jokic also ranks 20th in the NBA. Again, the line tonight is his per-game average and again I think the Warriors are a good matchup for him. First off, Golden State allows opposing teams to steal the ball an average of 8.1 times per game. That is the 29th worst mark in the NBA and rises to 8.6 when the Warriors play at home. Jokic, meanwhile, has gone over this total twice in his last five games and I think could get his hands on a couple tonight. Oddly, in two of the three games Jokic failed to get two steals, he blocked two shots in each. 

Will Barton OVER 1.5 Steals + Blocks (+125)

This goes hand in hand with the above pick but just couldn't pass up on the value twice. Barton is not as prolific a stealer as Jokic. But, over the last two weeks, those numbers have been on the rise along with his block total. Barton has gone OVER this total in two games this month and has one game where he blocked five shots plus another where he earned three steals. This is the riskiest of the bunch but with the Warriors giving up so many steals, I think Barton can get there. 

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

Home/NBA Prop Bets