3 Best NBA Prop Bets Today for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies (Bet on Ja Morant, Fade Steven Adams)
By Reed Wallach
After one of the more entertaining games of the first weekend of the NBA Playoffs, the Grizzlies and Timberwolves are set to tip off for Game 2 on Tuesday night.
The No. 2 seed in the Western Conference Grizzlies trail 1-0 in the series against the upstart No. 7 Timberwolves, but will look to even it up in front of their home crowd before heading to Minnesota for Games 3 and 4. You can check out our full betting preview here, but this is going to focus on three prop bets that I see value in for Game 2.
Let's waste not time and get to them. All odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook:
Ja Morant OVER 29.5 Points (-125)
The playoffs are for superstars, and Morant was able to clear his 28.5 point prop, scoring 32, in Saturday's Game 1 despite an inefficient showing. He shot 8-of-18 and missed his only two 3-point attempts, but he did shoot 16-of-20 from the free throw line.
While he won't get that many shots at the charity stripe again, I believe we are going to see a ton of usage from Morant, especially at the rim. The T'Wolves gave up a ton of points in the paint in Game 1, 51.3% the most of the postseason through all of the opening games.
I think we see Morant continue to act aggressive and get inside where the Grizz should clean it up after shotting below average at the rim. This point prop seems lofty, but given the likely usage Morant is going to see as the engine to the offense in desperate need of a win, I'll play it.
Steven Adams UNDER 10.5 Rebounds (-115)
This number is implying that Adams is going to be a key cog in Game 2, but I don't see many minutes for him. The postseason is about adjustments, and this matchup doesn't suit the lumbering Aussie well. Adams posted the worst defensive rating of any Grizzlies player in Game 1 (137.7 points allowed per 100 possession) in 24 minutes and I think he finds himself on the bench for most of this game.
Even if he does play, he had 3 rebounds in the opening tilt. This number is factoring in his season average of 10, but I see limited opportunities for him, assuming Jaren Jackson Jr. can stay out of foul trouble in this one. Adams can't guard Karl-Anthony Towns, and Taylor Jenkins need to be swift with his adjustment before the series gets away from them.
Jaren Jackson Jr. OVER 1.5 3's (+100)
Similar to my handicap on Adams lack of minutes, I believe we see more for JJJ, who couldn't get his full workload due to foul trouble in Game 1. He had 5 fouls, played only 24 minutes and was a disaster on both sides. He shot 4-of-13 from the field, including missing all five of his shots from beyond the arc.
If the defensive anchor of this Grizz team can stay on the floor, I see the volume there for him. He took nearly 5 3's per game this year and will likely draw the KAT matchup, who is going to play drop coverages and cede the pick-and-pop. If he gets to his season average in attempts, I'll be confident he cash this over.
You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!