3 Best NFL Teams To Bet The UNDER On (49ers Boast Top Defense in League)

Oct 3, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97)
Oct 3, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (97) / Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
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Through four weeks of the NFL season, UNDERs have been the way to go. The UNDER is cashing at a near-60% rate, making it one of the clearest trends of the young season. 

If we take a deeper dive into the trend, there are some teams that are more profitable than others when betting the UNDERs.

Here are the top three teams to target in the UNDER market. 

Cincinnati Bengals (4-0)

The Bengals have an interesting formula to get here. First, their defense is a great unit. It’s 8th in points per game, 11th in opponent yards per play and tied for first in opponent touchdowns per game. Secondly, their offense – that was expected to be one of the most explosive in the league – has been an average unit through the first four weeks.

Out of the three teams on this list, the Bengals are hitting the UNDER by the closest margin. That suggests that the offense could be waking up and start putting a few more points on the board. Cincinnati has been a great bet up until this point, but I don’t consider them a lock like these next two teams. 

San Francisco 49ers (4-0)

The 49ers are an UNDER bettors dream. They have a struggling offense – 27th in points per game and 24th in yards per game – and have the best defense in the league – 1st in points and yards per game, 1st in points and yards per play and tied for first in opponent touchdowns per game. 

San Francisco's point total margin as it relates to the total is -11.9. That’s the best mark in the league. As long as the defense continues to be one of the best units in football, the 49ers are trustworthy. 

Indianapolis Colts (4-0)

The Colts’ defense is good, but not great. It’s 13th in points per game, 6th in yards per play, but 30th in opponent red zone touchdown scoring percentage. They allow just enough points in the red zone to negate a lot of the good work they do earlier in the drive. However, that unit remains solid. 

Indianapolis is really on here because of its offense. The Colts are last in the league in scoring, 25th in yards per play and 26th in red zone touchdown scoring percentage. They aren’t efficient or explosive, which is a big reason it's 1-2-1. Until the Colts can unlock either Matt Ryan or Jonathan Taylor – who’s now hurt – continue betting on their UNDER.


You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.