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3 Best Prop Bets For Bills vs. Bucs in Week 14

By Brian Giuffra

Leonard Fournette has been on fire recently.
Leonard Fournette has been on fire recently. / Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
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The reeling Bills head south to face the red-hot Bucs in a monster game for both sides. Bucs QB Tom Brady is the NFL MVP frontrunner, with +150 odds at WynnBET to win the award. Bills QB Josh Allen has fallen down the standing amidst the Bills struggles, holding +800 odds currently to win the award after being the frontrunner a few weeks ago. I'd take Brady in that battle, but what about props for this game?

Here are three props at WynnBET I'm looking at in this game.

Best Prop Bets for Bills vs. Bucs

  • Leonard Fournette Under 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Josh Allen Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
  • Tom Brady Under 2.5 Passing TDs (-155)

Leonard Fournette Under 57.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Leonard Fournette has been a huge part of the Bucs offense over the last few weeks, but not as much as a runner as you'd think. He had 17 rushes for 100 yards against the Colts two weeks ago, but was under 45 rushing yards against the Giants and Falcons. Those defenses are weaker against the run than the Bills, who give up just over 80 rushing yards total per game to running backs. Expect Fournette to do more damage in the passing game, where he has at least six catches in each of the Bucs' last four games.

Josh Allen Over 34.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

This seems like a low number considering Allen has gone over this number in each of the Bills last two games and eight games total this year, which is a 66% hit rate. The Bucs are strong against the rush and the Bills will want to keep the ball out of Tom Brady's hands as much as possible in this game. That means Allen will have to get some rushing opportunities in this one, both in designed situations and scrambling.

Tom Brady Under 2.5 Passing TDs (-155)

The Bills give up the fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL, only eight total this year. They haven't allowed an opponent to throw for over two TDs in a game this year. While Brady threw for for TDs against the Falcons last week, he hasn't thrown for over two TDs in the Bucs three other most recent games. I expect this to a slog for both teams and don't see Brady lighting up the Bills top-ranked passing defense.

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