Betsided

3 Best Prop Bets for Bills vs Chiefs (Picking Josh Allen and the Over Everywhere)

By Brian Giuffra

Josh Allen hopes to beat the Chiefs for the first time in the playoffs.
Josh Allen hopes to beat the Chiefs for the first time in the playoffs. / Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
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I literally couldn't be more excited about Bills vs Chiefs. These are arguably the two best teams in the NFL. They have two of the best quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. They have two of the best offenses. There's star talent at every skill position on both sides of the ball. It's a rematch of last year's AFC Championship. It's at Arrowhead, possibly the best venue in the NFL. What more do I need to say?

Oh yeah, let's win some damn money!

This Chiefs are a narrow 1.5-point favorite with the moneyline set at +105 (bet $100 to profit $105) for the Bills and -125 (bet $125 to profit $100) for the Chiefs. The over/under is set at a massive number of 54 points. Plenty of chances to cash in. Here are our favorite prop bets to do just that with all odds coming from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Best Prop Bets for Bills vs. Chiefs

  • Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+115)
  • Cole Beasley Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)
  • Patrick Mahomes Over 25.5 Completions (-125)

Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+115)

Bills QB Josh Allen is one of the most prolific rushing quarterbacks in the NFL and, against the Chiefs, always seems to notch it up a bit. He ran for 79 yards against the Chiefs in the playoffs last year. In the 2021 regular season, he ran for 59 yards and a TD against them and 42 yards in the 2019 regular season. Throw in the fact that the Chiefs gave up the most rushing touchdowns against quarterbacks this season (7) and the sixth-most rushing yards (389) and you understand why I like Allen to find the end zone in this game.

Cole Beasley Over 29.5 receiving yards (-115)

This number seems oddly low considering Beasley has gone over this mark 10 times this year, including in three of the Bills last five games. Perhaps this is because he had only 5 yards receiving against the Chiefs earlier this year. Either way, in a high-scoring game like this, I like Beasley to get four or more targets and clear 30 receiving yards against a defense that allows 248.6 passing yards per game on average (fifth-worst in the NFL). With a total that high, and Allen's over/under on passing yards set at 283.5 yards (-115 on the over), I see Beasley being the beneficiary of the game plan.

Patrick Mahomes Over 25.5 Completions (-125)

Speaking of passing, the Bills defense is the best in the business, giving up just 165.9 passing yards per game and 5.3 yards per pass. Mahomes will have to try and stretch the field, but likely will have to stay underneath the coverage and throw shorter. The means more completions. So, as mentioned above, does the O/U.

Mahomes has cleared this number in three straight games and four of his last five. In a game with everything on the line, the Chiefs will put the ball in Mahomes' hands and it appears the game will dictate he takes what the defense gives him and that will be short passes.

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