3 Best Prop Bets for Broncos vs Chiefs: Expect a Ground-And-Pound Gameplan

Who the hell would have thought the Broncos would be one win away from leading the AFC West this late in the season? If you raise your hand, you're lying. But here we are. The 6-5 Broncos travel to face the 7-4 Chiefs in a critical game for playoff positioning.

The Chiefs are 8.5-point favorites and -400 on the moneyline (bet $400, profit $100 if the Chiefs win outright) at WynnBET. The Broncos are +320 underdogs (bet $100 to profit $320 if the Broncos win outright). The over/under is set at 46.0 points.

Peter Dewey explained why he's backing the Broncos on the +8.5 point line earlier this week and you can read his prediction here. But you're here for the exciting stuff, the prop bets. Here are three I like for tonight's game with all odds coming from WynnBET.

Best Prop Bets for Broncos vs Chiefs

• Teddy Bridgewater Under 1.5 TD Passes (-125)
• Courtland Sutton Under 43.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
• Tyreek Hill Under 82.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Teddy Bridgewater Under 1.5 TD Passes (-125)

When the Broncos win, they do it on the ground, and they'll want to keep it that way against the Chiefs. Ball control is their best path toward winning so I see them going run heavy against a defense that gives up over 111 rushing yards per game. That should keep Bridgewater from throwing over 2 touchdowns, which he hasn't accomplished in four games. The Broncos are 3-1 in those games, so why change it? They won't unless the Chiefs blow them out, which I don't see happening.

Courtland Sutton Under 43.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Sutton has been held under this number in four straight games since Jerry Jeudy returned from injury and is, for whatever reason, a forgotten man when Jeudy is in the lineup. Sutton is also an uber-talented receiver, so this is a bit dangerous. But it's not just the lack of recent production that concerns me. It's the lack of targets. Sutton has only been targeted 17 total times in the last five games, giving him just over three targets per game. The Chiefs pass defense is much improved recently and, as I mentioned above, this feels like a run-heavy game plan for the Broncos. That won't work to Sutton's strength as a big-play guy.

Tyreek Hill Under 82.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The Broncos have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, giving up just 224.2 yards per game, 10th in the league. Against wide receivers specifically, they're giving up just 157.5 yards per game, which is also in the top half of the league. Hill has only gone over this number twice in the last seven games, and one of those he had only 83 yards. It's always dangerous to bet against Hill, but this is a situation where the Broncos strength coincides with a high number for Hill, so I'll take the risk.