3 Best Prop Bets for Rams vs. Packers: Trust A.J. Dillion, Cooper Kupp in Week 12

This was supposed to be a matchup between two of the best teams in the NFC, and while that's still the situation record wise, the Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Rams are both coming off humbling losses and dealing with injuries to their quarterbacks.

Aaron Rodgers has a broken toe and Matt Stafford is dealing with chronic back and elbow pain in his throwing arm. Perhaps that's why he looked so bad in the Rams 31-10 loss to the 49ers, throwing two interceptions against only one touchdown. Rodgers looked good against the Vikings after a slow start, but Green Bay still lost the game and Rodgers admitted his toe is in a lot of pain and didn't practice this week.

That's all to say there are a lot of variables at play here, which makes prop betting a little tougher. But that's why you came here, to learn from a bettor who is placing a few $$ on this game. Here's what I'm considering on the prop front with all odds coming from WynnBET.

Best Prop Bets for Rams vs. Packers

• A.J. Dillion Anytime TD Scorer (-200)

• Cooper Kupp Total Receptions Over 7.5 (-145)

• Sony Michel Under 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

A.J. Dillion Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-200)

There's talk of fellow Packers running Aaron Jones playing in this game, but with the Packers approaching a bye week, I expect him to sit or play sparingly if at all. Couple that with Rodgers toe injury and the best bet for a Packers touchdown lies with the massive calves of A.J. Dillion.

Do I love -200 odds for a TD scorer? No. But I do see Dillion scoring so why not put some money on it.

Cooper Kupp Total Receptions OVER 7.5 (-145)

Another pick with negative odds. So bold huh. But, as with Dillion, I'm trying to pick winners here, not give you a bunch of long shots with a 50-50 chance of winning. I'm thinking this has more like an 80% chance of hitting.

Kupp has gone over this number in four of the Rams' last five games and had 11 catches in each of the last two. That coincides with Stafford taking a shorter route to completing catches. Given he's still dealing with the aforementioned injuries, why wouldn't he keep throwing is short to Kupp? I think he does and Kupp benefits.

Sony Michel UNDER 21.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Michel has missed the number in three of the Rams' last four games, during which time he's averaged 5.5 rushing attempts per game. Starting RB Darrell Henderson, meanwhile, is coming off his worst two games of the year, both losses. The Rams will likely want to establish Henderson in this match up, especially with a week off on the bye.

The Packers have a solid run defense (105.6 yards allowed per game, sixth in the NFL). But they allow 4.4 yards per rush attempt. That plays into Henderson's favor in this matchup and that's why I see Michel not being used much.