3 Best Prop Bets for Steelers vs Chiefs: Back Kansas City's Rushing Attack

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is chased out of the pocket by Cincinnati.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) is chased out of the pocket by Cincinnati. / Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY

Going into this weekend, no game favored one team more than the Kansas City Chiefs, although the Buffalo Bills will have something to say about that after drubbing the New England Patriots last night. 

In this matchup between Patrick Mahomes and Ben Roethlisberger, there is plenty of value to be found.

Let's take a look at my three favorite player prop bets for today's game, with all odds courtesy of WynnBET.

Best Prop Bets for Steelers vs. Chiefs

  • Diontae Johnson OVER 6.5 receptions
  • Darrel Williams rushing  yards OVER 57.5.
  • Patrick Mahomes OVER 19.5 rushing yards

Diontae Johnson OVER 6.5 receptions

There aren’t many wide receivers that are more slept on than Diontae Johnson. Johnson was second in the NFL this season with 169 targets, tied with Davante Adams and behind only Cooper Kupp. He sees a significant amount of work.

Johnson’s line of 6.5 receptions in what should be a negative game script that will force the Steelers to throw it often is a smash spot against a Chiefs defense that has allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game this year with 251.4.

Darrel Williams rushing yards OVER 57.5.

With no Clyde Edwards-Helaire, it’s going to be Darrel Williams that sees what should be a heavy workload. Williams has only gone over 58 rushing yards in three of his seven starts this season, but it’s the matchup with the Steelers that has me drooling like a kid in a candy shop.

The Steelers have given up the most rushing yards per game in the NFL this year, allowing a staggering 146.1. Williams needs roughly a third of that. I’m putting money on the over.

Patrick Mahomes rushing yards OVER 19.5

Mahome is more than capable of extending plays with his legs, especially when the play breaks down. Considering the Steelers have the best pass rusher in the NFL in T.J. Watt and his 22.5 sacks, it’s likely that Mahomes will have to spin out of the pocket on more than one occasion. 

Mahomes has rushed for 20 or more yards in four of his last five games, including 54 yards on 9 rush attempts last week. When Watt is able to disrupt Mahomes in the backfield, Mahomes will go get the yards himself. 19.5 is a very getable number for him.