3 Best Prop Bets for Vikings vs. 49ers (Deebo Flys in High-Scoring Game)

Deebo Samuel is in line for a big game.
Deebo Samuel is in line for a big game. / Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
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The 49ers and Vikings are fighting for their playoff lives. They're both 5-5 and on two-game winning streaks. Whoever wins this matchup will take a big step toward securing a spot in the playoffs.

I'm expecting an offensive explosion from these teams led by their superstar wide outs. Deebo Samuel and Justin Jefferson have established themselves as two of the best in the NFL this year and could each produce a couple of monster plays.

You can bet one of them will be among my best prop bets for this game. Here are the others with odds from WynnBET.

Best Prop Bets for Vikings vs 49ers

  • Deebo Samuel Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
  • Jimmy Garoppolo Under 21.5 Completions (-125)
  • First Half Over 24.0 Points (-110)

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Deebo Samuel Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

The Vikings have given up the fifth most receiving yards to WRs this season and are susceptible to big plays. They give up 195.0 yards per game to WRs and allow 14.2 yards per catch. Those are numbers that should make Samuel salivate.

He's averaging 18.1 yards per catch and has eclipsed 71 yards receiving in 60% of the 49ers games. He's coming off his worst receiving game of the season (1 catch, 15 yards), but that was because he was used more as a running back. With RB Elijah Mitchell expected to return from injury I expect Samuel to be a greater focus of the passing game and for the 49ers to get him involved early and often.

Jimmy Garoppolo Under 21.5 Completions (-125)

While I think Samuel has a big day, I don't think the same for his quarterback. The Vikings give up big plays through the air, but they limit the offense in other ways. They're third in sack percentage (8.07%) and fifth in completion percentage.

The 49ers are limiting the number of throws Garoppolo has to make and it's worked out better for them. He's thrown just over 20 passes in the last two 49ers games and they've both been wins. He's also completed just 15.5 passes per game the last two, both wins, and is completing just 17.4 in 49ers wins this year. The point is, the 49ers win more when he throws less. Given they're home favorites in this one, I'll lean he throws less.

First Half Over 24.0 Points (-110)

Both of these teams have been scoring big in the first half during their recent win streaks, with Minnesota scoring 31 and San Fran scoring 41. Perhaps there's a recency bias here, but I think that continues.

As I mentioned earlier, I could see some big plays happening throughout this game. But the real reason I like this number is the Vikings are are the fifth best team at scoring TDs in the red zone (67.7%) and the 49ers are No. 1 (77.8%). Their defenses, meanwhile, are 25th and 18th, respectively, giving each offense a good chance to punch it in when they get close.