3 Best Win Totals to Bet Following NFL Week 3

Three down, 14 to go.

Heading into Week 4 of the NFL season, we're starting to get a clear picture of which teams are good and which teams have started the season with a lot of luck. As each team's record molds with the week, so do the expected win totals for the season.

There are still a few lines that show a little bit of value for me, and here they are. These are the top three win totals you need to bet, with odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Broncos UNDER 9.5 Wins (+100)

I don’t care that the Broncos are 2-1. I have eyes and can see that they are an unserious football team. Denver’s offense looks a mess and hasn’t scored 17 points in a game yet. Furthermore, Nathaniel Hackett seems over his head and can’t make the right decisions when it comes to clock management. 

If the Broncos are going to continue to play in low-scoring, close games with bad clock management, expect them to lose more games – as it’s already cost them one game this season. 

Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 7.5 Wins (-145)

The Jaguars might not just clear this mark, but they might also win the AFC South. Jacksonville is 2-1, and was on the cusp of winning in Week 1. According to Tankathon.com, the Jaguars have the 11th-easiest schedule the rest of the way. At 2-1, five divisional games left and already a win over one of their harder opponents, this is a steal. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 11.5 Wins (-120)

Yes, this is Tom Brady, but we need to have a real conversation about what the Bucs are this season. They are struggling on offense and have several injuries at the wideout position.

Even with a weak division, Tampa Bay already has one divisional loss on its record. At 2-1, this is the perfect sell-high spot for the Buccaneers. They would have to go 10-4 the rest of the way to clear this line. With the Kansas City Chiefs next on the schedule, this is too much of an ask for the Bucs.

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.