3 Bold Predictions Suns-Clippers Game 6
By Peter Dewey
Could we see a Game 7 in the Western Conference Finals?
Game 6 between the Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Clippers is set to be a coin flip, and it will be interesting to see who steps up to swing the tide on Wednesday.
Ty Lue and the Clippers have all the faith in the world in coming back from a 3-1 series deficit, and Paul George’s monster performance in Game 5 has made that closer to a reality.
WynnBET has the Suns still as -450 favorites to win the series, but Los Angeles’ odds have increased greatly and now sit at +275.
I was all about the Paul George bounce-back game in Game 5, and the over on his points prop hit after he dropped 41 points on 15-of-20 shooting.
There’s only so many NBA picks left as the postseason winds down, so here are my bold player prop predictions for Wednesday’s Game 6.
Mikal Bridges Scores Over 11.5 Points
Mikal Bridges needs to step up if the Suns want to avoid going to a Game 7. After playing so well early in the postseason, Bridges has struggled to make an impact offensively in the past four games.
Game 2: 5 points (2-for-7 FG, 1-for-5 from 3)
Game 3: 13 points (5-for-8 FG, 2-for-5 from 3)
Game 4: 6 points (3-for-6 FG, 0-for-0 from 3)
Game 5: 5 points (2-for-5 FG, 1-for-2 from 3)
WynnBET has Bridges’ player prop for points set at 11.5 on Wednesday, and even though he’s missed the over on that total in three of his last four games, I like his odds of going over tonight at +104.
Prior to this recent slump, Bridges had scored in double figures in eight consecutive playoff games, and he averaged 12.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting over his first 11 postseason games.
Monty Williams and company need to find other scoring options with Chris Paul and Devin Booker struggling, and Bridges could be a beneficiary in Game 6.
Deandre Ayton Goes Over 11.5 Rebounds
Deandre Ayton has been one of the keys to the Suns’ playoff run, and he is coming off back-to-back double-doubles in Game 4 and Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals.
WynnBET has Ayton’s projected rebound total set at 11.5 in Game 6, with the over (+104) as the underdog to the under (-140).
While Ayton has gone over 11.5 boards just twice in the series, he’s been consistent, as he’s averaging 13.0 boards against the Clippers.
At plus odds, Ayton’s rebound prop is worth a shot given the fact he’s also played 37.0 minutes per game in the series.
If you’re riding the over on Ayton’s rebounds, you might as well take his double-double prop as well at -215 considering he’s put one up in six of his last nine games.
In addition, Ayton has scored in double figures in all but two of his playoff games this year, so if he hits the over on the rebounds, the double-double is very likely to follow.
Marcus Morris Goes Under 18.5 Points and Rebounds
Morris has been feast or famine in the scoring column all postseason, but he’s coming off arguably his best game of the playoffs in Game 5.
Morris looked healthier in Game 5 and finished with 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting. The volume has been there all postseason (Morris is taking 10.2 shots per game), but the forward has struggled with consistency.
WynnBET has the under on his points and rebounds at -105 odds, and I think that’s solid value considering Morris has only had over 18.5 combined points and rebounds once in his past six games.
I know he’s coming off a big performance, but Morris has only averaged 4.0 rebounds all postseason, and he’s scored double-figures in just six of his 18 playoff games.
It would take a perfect storm of either scoring or rebounding for Morris to buck the trend and hit the over.