Golf Predictions & Picks

3 Dark Horse Bets to Win the Sony Open

Iain MacMillan
Joel Dahman is one of the handful of golfers who will be competing in both Hawaii events this season.
Joel Dahman is one of the handful of golfers who will be competing in both Hawaii events this season. / John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

The PGA Tour heads to the second and final stop on its Hawaii swing, the Sony Open.

I've already given my course breakdown and best bets in my betting preview article, which you can check out here, but I also have a few dark horse long shot golfers to give out for those of you who are feeling a little bit more risky.

All golfers listed below have odds of 50/1 or greater. All odds are via WynnBET Sportsbook.

3 Longshots to Win the 2022 Sony Open

  • Joel Dahmen +6000 (60/1)
  • Rory Sabbatini +10000 (100/1)
  • Kyle Stanley +15000 (150/1)

Joel Dahmen +6000

The number one most important thing when trying to find a long shot bet that has value, is finding someone on the odds list whose game fits the style of course to perfect. Joel Dahman fits that bill.

As I pointed out in my betting preview, being accurate with your tee shots to set up good approach shots from the right area is absolutely key at Waialae Country Club. With that being said, check out this graphic done by PGA Splits 101 on Twitter.

He ranks Dahmen seventh in the field in being golfers who should be successful off the tee at this track. He also finished T12 at the Sony Open in 2020, so he clearly knows how to place this course. He's worth a shot at 60/1.

Rory Sabbatini +10000

Rory Sabbatini is always a name that pops out to me when looking at golfers with long odds. After a silver medal finish at the 2021 Olympics, he's proven that he can show up against the best competition in the world. He also already has a T3 finish this season, so he should be able to take advantage of a weaker field this week.

He ranks seventh in strokes gained: tee-to-green heading into the event.

Kyle Stanley +15000

I mentioned the graphic above that should give us a good indication of the golfers whose style fits this course well, and it's Kyle Stanley's name that sits second on the list next to Corey Conners, who is one of my top picks that I'm on this week.

Stanley has also found success at this course in the past, with four top 25 finishes including a 10th place finish here back in 2018. He's a long shot, for sure, but if you want to put a few dollars on a guy that will have a big pay out, Kyle Stanley is likely your best option.